13 turns straight of paraflinch
I just played a game against a paraflinch Jirachi where I had Take Heart Manaphy. In the 13 turns I had on the field, I was paralysed by the first body slam, which triggered paralysis, and was then flinched 11 times, with a bonus paralysis in there.
This is a probability of 0.6*0.25*(0.6+(0.4*0.25))^12 = 0.2% chance
0.6 (initial chance to get paralysed by body slam) times 0.25 (paralysed on the first turn) times (0.6+(0.4*0.25)) (chance for either flinch or para if I don't flinch) ^12 (for 12 turns of iron head in a row)
After 12 consequtive iron heads, my Manaphy succumbed to blunt force trauma and passed away (RIP)
Out of 1000 games, Manaphy should be able to move at least one time within 13 turns in 998 of those games in these circumstances.
Replay: https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen9ou-1980976645-tzmsfmgc55b74jivz8zm7z4hmz1546ppw
Posted Nov 1, 2023, 4:07 PM UTC