Stock Information for USDJPY - 1d

#USDJPY #1d #Forex───────────

Ensemble model

  • Overview: The synthetic investment attractiveness indicator equals 2 (out of +/-100). The model ensemble suggests trading will neither be attractive or unattractive.

Optimal past

  • Optimal past: The optimal lookback period for modelling is currently 394 candles. The market is currently bullish, appreciating by 12.0% during the latest phase.

Elliot Waves

  • Elliot Waves: The market's trend has changed and currently goes down.

  • Elliot Waves Settings: Elliot Waves were updated. The current wavelength is 55.

Price Bound Modelling

  • HAR model at confidence level 95.0%: the HAR model forecasts volatility of 0.6653% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 146.84 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 145.23 or above 148.44.

  • BRW VaR at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 146.93 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 145.38 or above 148.06.

  • Historical simulation at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 146.93 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 145.44 or above 148.06.

  • Multifractal range at confidence level 95.0%: in the next 256 candles, the price will fluctuate around 149.82 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 104.22 or above 180.05.

  • Fibonacci with seven retracements: the price is likely to rebound downward from the nearest Fibonacci resistance of 148.35 at the level of 61.8%. The nearest Fibonacci support is 144.15 at the level of 50.0%.

  • Fibonacci with five retracements: the price is likely to rebound downward from the nearest Fibonacci resistance of 148.35 at the level of 61.8%. The nearest Fibonacci support is 144.15 at the level of 50.0%.

  • Fibonacci with four retracements: the price is likely to rebound downward from the nearest Fibonacci resistance of 148.35 at the level of 61.8%. The nearest Fibonacci support is 139.95 at the level of 38.2%.

  • MVaR bounds at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 146.94 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 145.33 or above 148.0.

Forecast

  • MA model at confidence level 95.0%: the MA model forecasts a return of -0.0048% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 146.82 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 144.86 or above 148.79.

  • AR model at confidence level 95.0%: the AR model forecasts a return of -0.0048% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 146.82 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 145.43 or above 148.21.

Stability Indicators

  • Generalised extreme value: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain

  • Power law: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain

  • Student degrees of freedom: According to the indicator, the market is stable

  • Tukey lambda: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain

Seasonality test

  • Seasonality test: According to the generalised seasonality test, there are no seasonal effects on the market.

Distribution analysis

  • Best-fit distribution: Best-fit distribution has changed, and now it is Laplace

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Not investment advice.

#USDJPY #1d #trading #Distribution analysis

Posted Aug 14, 2024, 12:02 AM UTC

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