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How to Estimate the upcoming Jackpot Pool?

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Excel Exercise #2

Ultra Lotto Upcoming Jackpot Prizes

How?

Online sample: Exercise Sheet

To calculate upcoming jackpot prizes, we only need to use the GROWTH function of Excel.

Create a Column (F6:F19) where the incremental difference of jackpot prizes are listed. Sample:

  • F6=D6-D5
  • F7=D7-D6
  • and so forth

These will be the first argument of the function GROWTH in F20.

The second argument are the dates (C6:C19) parallel to the incremental column.

The third argument are the future dates (C20:C24).

Note: There should be no holiday (no lotto draw) that skip the dates, otherwise the trends would be inaccurate.

  • F20=GROWTH(F6:F19,C6:C19,C20:C24)
  • F21 to F24 will be fill automatically

https://preview.redd.it/iuh9ykogzrld1.png?width=936&format=png&auto=webp&s=58acc6cefa96b67e34299c38d19d3c24ebcea88d

Now that the Increments column is completed, we can now add them to the most recent jackpot prize:

  • D20=D19+F20
  • D21=D20+F21
  • D22=D21+F22
  • D23=D22+F23
  • D24=D23+F24

For hands-on exercise, you may open the Exercise Sheet (no login necessary). I added sample calculation for the Grand Lotto in the same sheet.

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The error rate of this estimation is about 0.36% error rate. So it is very accurate.

Actually, kagabi ko lang nalaman itong function. LOL. My previous estimation is a bit far more complicated and not as accurate as this one. So I'm sharing it, kasi natuwa ako.

Posted Aug 30, 2024, 10:16 AM UTC

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