Stock Information for ETHUSD - 3h

#ETHUSD #3h #Crypto───────────

Ensemble model

  • Overview: The synthetic investment attractiveness indicator equals 17 (out of +/-100). The model ensemble suggests that trading will tend to be attractive in the nearest future. The synthetic directional indicator equals -17 (out of +/-100). The model ensemble suggests the market will tend to be bearish in the nearest future.

Optimal past

  • Optimal past: The optimal lookback period for modelling is currently 309 candles. The market is currently bearish, depreciating by 16.0% during the latest phase.

Elliot Waves

  • Elliot Waves: The market's trend has changed and currently goes down.

  • Elliot Waves Settings: Elliot Waves were updated. The current wavelength is 55.

Price Bound Modelling

  • HAR model at confidence level 95.0%: the HAR model forecasts volatility of 1.5646% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 2735.44 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 2665.01 or above 2805.87.

  • BRW VaR at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 2735.39 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 2659.19 or above 2801.18.

  • Historical simulation at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 2735.42 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 2663.12 or above 2801.85.

  • Multifractal range at confidence level 95.0%: in the next 256 candles, the price will fluctuate around 2871.47 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 1361.78 or above 3628.77.

  • Fibonacci with seven retracements: the price is likely to rebound downward from the nearest Fibonacci resistance of 2844.54 at the level of 38.2%. The nearest Fibonacci support is 2547.4 at the level of 23.6%.

  • Fibonacci with five retracements: the price is likely to rebound downward from the nearest Fibonacci resistance of 2844.54 at the level of 38.2%. The nearest Fibonacci support is 2066.61 at the level of 0.0%.

  • Fibonacci with four retracements: the price is likely to rebound downward from the nearest Fibonacci resistance of 2844.54 at the level of 38.2%. The nearest Fibonacci support is 2066.61 at the level of 0.0%.

  • MVaR bounds at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 2743.62 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 2654.81 or above 2788.18.

Forecast

  • MA model at confidence level 95.0%: the MA model forecasts a return of -0.0439% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 2735.64 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 2630.27 or above 2840.73.

  • AR model at confidence level 95.0%: the AR model forecasts a return of -0.0439% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 2735.64 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 2661.2 or above 2810.07.

Stability Indicators

  • Generalised extreme value: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain

  • Power law: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain

  • Student degrees of freedom: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain

  • Tukey lambda: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain

Seasonality test

  • Seasonality test: According to the generalised seasonality test, there are no seasonal effects on the market.

Distribution analysis

  • Best-fit distribution: Best-fit distribution has changed, and now it is Laplace

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Not investment advice.

#ETHUSD #3h #trading #Distribution analysis

Posted Feb 20, 2025, 11:51 AM UTC

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