Stock Information for BRENT - 60m

#BRENT #60m #Commodities───────────

Ensemble model

  • Overview: The synthetic investment attractiveness indicator equals 5 (out of +/-100). The model ensemble suggests trading will neither be attractive or unattractive. The synthetic directional indicator equals -24 (out of +/-100). The model ensemble suggests the market will tend to be bearish in the nearest future.

Optimal past

  • Optimal past: The optimal lookback period for modelling is currently 554 candles. The market is currently bearish, depreciating by 7.0% during the latest phase.

Elliot Waves

  • Elliot Waves: The market's trend has changed and currently goes down.

  • Elliot Waves Settings: Elliot Waves were updated. The current wavelength is 55.

Price Bound Modelling

  • HAR model at confidence level 95.0%: the HAR model forecasts volatility of 0.2735% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 70.6 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 70.28 or above 70.91.

  • BRW VaR at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 70.61 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 70.25 or above 70.91.

  • Historical simulation at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 70.61 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 70.25 or above 70.92.

  • Multifractal range at confidence level 95.0%: in the next 256 candles, the price will fluctuate around 71.13 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 62.36 or above 76.41.

  • Fibonacci with seven retracements: the price is likely to rebound upward from the nearest Fibonacci support of 70.3 at the level of 23.6%. The nearest Fibonacci resistance is 71.59 at the level of 38.2%.

  • Fibonacci with five retracements: the price is likely to rebound downward from the nearest Fibonacci resistance of 71.59 at the level of 38.2%. The nearest Fibonacci support is 68.21 at the level of 0.0%.

  • Fibonacci with four retracements: the price is likely to rebound downward from the nearest Fibonacci resistance of 71.59 at the level of 38.2%. The nearest Fibonacci support is 68.21 at the level of 0.0%.

  • MVaR bounds at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 70.63 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 70.18 or above 70.9.

Forecast

  • MA model at confidence level 95.0%: the MA model forecasts a return of -0.0248% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 70.6 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 70.05 or above 71.14.

  • AR model at confidence level 95.0%: the AR model forecasts a return of -0.0248% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 70.6 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 70.21 or above 70.98.

Stability Indicators

  • Generalised extreme value: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain

  • Power law: According to the indicator, the market is unstable

  • Student degrees of freedom: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain

  • Tukey lambda: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain

Seasonality test

  • Seasonality test: According to the generalised seasonality test, there are no seasonal effects on the market.

Distribution analysis

  • Best-fit distribution: Best-fit distribution has changed, and now it is Laplace

───────────

Not investment advice.

#BRENT #60m #trading #Distribution analysis

Posted Mar 12, 2025, 7:52 PM UTC

10
Loading comments…