There's a by-election for a councillor in my area tomorrow, any guesses on what the result will be?

The LibDem councillor has been removed for failing to attend meetings (not sure of the explanation). The other two councillors for this ward are also LibDem.

You can see the results from the last election here - https://moderngov.sutton.gov.uk/mgElectionAreaResults.aspx?ID=108&RPID=49030553

Just for fun, any guesses on the % split for the seat that is up for grabs?

I'm gonna go:

LibDem 36%

Conservative 26%

Reform 18%

Labour 13%

Green 5%

Other 2%