Do you think at some point Shara would just cut off Sweida from the rest of Syria ?
For a province that have no natural resources or anything of value, it sure seems to bring a lot of unnecessary troubles.
With constant local Miltias that refuse to integrate yet still demand services and some of the Miltias are Proxies of Israel.
This province somehow is a lot more annoying than the SDF who is cooperating and slowly working things out, the Druze are more difficult to negotiate with as they never seem to have a clear demands and one of their High elders Hijiri constantly rejects anything the government dose yet offers no alternative most of the time, at this point you will probably see the entire Jazeera under Syrian government control with SDF integrated and controlling their Kurdish areas while Sweida still rejects Shara's government.
At some point he will either have to invade Sweida and crack on the Druze Miltias but that has the risk of Israeli invasion, the second most likely outcome is abandon this province, cut everything from them, he just goes "Have your autonomy" and cuts them off, no more salaries, no more electricity, no more aid, nothing from the rest of Syria and no other government services, nobody comes and go past it's border, with heavy security lines.
Because this province has no natural resources and not even a proper border crossing with Jordan, they wont survive and the tons of Miltias they build up so far will fight eachother for influence.
Posted Apr 9, 2025, 8:19 PM UTC