What do y'all think would have happened if [redacted] never traded with the bandits

So what do y'all think would have happened had Ben never traded with the bandits would the group leave the motel sooner would lilly still snap ECT ECT

I think Lilly's sanity would have been a bit better Kenny killing her dad definitely hurt her but someone stealing supplies made her not trust anyone in the group along with the fallout conversation that leads to lilly killing someone just not happening since no one stole supplies

If they left the motel sooner would they even meet Christa and Omid

But I'm unsure what would happen overall what do y'all think?