here’s what the canes need to win, and it’s not road wins:

home wins. let's just look at the stats. since 2021: *w vs njd: 1–1 *l vs nyr: 1-2 *w vs nyi: 1-1 *l vs fla: 0-2 *w vs njd: 1-1 *w vs nyi: 2-1 *l vs nyr: 0-3 *w vs bos: 0-3 *l vs tbl: 1-1

compare with home record *w vs njd: 3-0 *l vs nyr: 1-2 *w vs nyi: 3-0 *l vs fla: 0-2 *w vs njd: 3-0 *w vs nyi: 2-1 *l vs nyr: 3-1 *w vs bos: 4-0 *l vs tbl: 0-3

you can make a lot of conclusions here but what i've gathered is that winning at home is just a much bigger factor if we want to keep going.

in the series we've won our record is: *15-1 at home *5-7 on the road in series we've lost our record is: *4-8 at home *2-8 on the road (yikes)

now my take away is that although we're obviously better on the road in winning series the biggest factor is clearly home wins. we haven't even lost a home game in a series we've won since we played the islanders in 2023! that's crazy!! you look at the stats you'll see that home wins have been a much bigger deal. so yeah seems obvious but win at home! the impact there is much bigger. do you disagree? do you agree? did i add my numbers wrong? please discuss i love talking about this stuff.