i've been working on my credit spread program again recently and have decided to dive back into it

surely this time, it'll all work out :)

I've coded this completely on my own with no outside human help over months with an enormous amount of AI help, and will probably try to eventually turn it into a newsletter.

Filters Used:  
  "min\_pop": 85.0,  "min\_ror": 2.0, "max\_ror": 80.0, "min\_ev": -0.05, "min\_score": 20.0

  
I selected trending tickers on stocktwits along with tickers with upcoming earnings for the analysis. Expiration dates considered are this Friday and next Friday.

Each trade was analyzed by chatgpt, and takes into consideration reddit, stocktwits, and news headlines. The emoji recommendation is whether the AI would take the trade or not. Analysis is the total confidence in the trade out of 100 by the AI. Score is a made up metric based on max pain that I came up with for a non AI way of ranking the available credit spreads.

ROR-B - Return on risk if you take the bid price of the spread  
ROR-M - Return on risk if you take the mid price of the spread

EV-B - Expected value of the trade if you take the bid price  
EV-M - Expected value of the trade if you take the mid price  
Mid Cr - Credit received for taking the trade at the mid price  
Min Cr - Credit received for taking the trade at the bid price  


Example of one of the AI analysis performed on HIMS

The confidence score of 61 indicates a moderate bearish outlook on the call credit spread trade on HIMS. The market conditions show a bullish trend with an RSI of 85, suggesting overbought conditions; however, there's significant time decay due to the short expiration timeframe. Fundamental analysis reveals strong revenue growth and a solid financial base, but the high P/E ratio and negative sentiment surrounding recent earnings cast doubts on sustainability. Sentiment analysis from social media platforms is mixed, indicating a lack of overwhelming bearish sentiment. The risk assessment provides a slightly favorable view due to a 97.9% probability of profit, yet volatility remains high. The strategy is well-executed with defined strikes above the current market price, while the high open interest leads to a lower likelihood of price movement beyond the short strikes. Key considerations include the risk of holding a bearish position during a generally positive market trend and potential for the stock to recover from any recent negative sentiment. Traders should monitor price action closely around the short strike and consider exiting if the trend shows bullish momentum or if the RSI indicates overbought conditions are continuing. An alternative viewpoint might argue that with significant recent price surges, there is potential for further upward movement defying short-term bearish expectations. 

high probability credit spreads for today, tomorrow, next week