Will reduced grant availability affect tenure?

Given the current environment in the US with NIH, NSF budgets getting slashed, will units/universities adjust expectations for grant funding when deciding on tenure cases (for positions with expectations for getting grants)?

I cannot imagine someone going up for tenure 3-4 years from now being held to the same expectations as people who went up for tenure pre-2025. Will other people on the tenure & promotion committees across the US adjust appropriately?