Team Independent Efficiency(TIE) - Wide Receivers
Introducing a new advanced statistic I'll be posting in the preseason for each position. (Link to RB post) They will be incorporated into my projections this coming season.
Team Independent Efficiency(TIE) - A rating I've cultivated to try to separate a player's efficacy from their team/situation. This can be useful when a player changes situation/team and can be used to better judge how the change will affect each individual.
These values below are from last year, qualified receivers had at least 50 receptions. To attempt to isolate a player's contribution on a per catch basis I normalized every receiver to a league average Deep Target %, Shallow Target %, In Stride Throw %, Off Target but Catchable % and calculated an adjusted Yards after the Catch(YAC), Catch Rate(CR), and Average Depth of Target(aDOT) for each player. I also used Missed Tackles Forced(MTF) to assign how much of a players YAC was individual talent and how much was being thrown into space or plays designed for YAC. For aDOT I used team averages and league averages to attempt to assign what portion of their aDOT is earned vs what portion is just a team effort to push the ball downfield.
Note: Justin Jefferson never ended up on this list where I expected to see him and I think I assign this to that hip injury he may have played through. I ran the same process for the previous year and he would have landed just above Chase on this list.
| Player | TIE Rating(0-15) | Adj. CR | Adj. YAC | Adj. aDOT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Brown | 11.11 | 80.13% | 5.73 | 16.43 |
| Malik Nabers | 9.06 | 73.26% | 4.81 | 15.12 |
| George Pickens | 7.69 | 68.33% | 4.10 | 20.95 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 7.37 | 78.90% | 6.55 | 12.70 |
| DeVonta Smith | 7.19 | 83.37% | 4.36 | 14.15 |
| Davante Adams | 7.18 | 72.33% | 5.89 | 14.29 |
| Terry McLaurin | 7.14 | 80.70% | 4.31 | 18.74 |
| Puka Nacua | 7.05 | 81.61% | 6.71 | 10.66 |
| Brian Thomas | 6.65 | 75.73% | 7.25 | 14.05 |
| Justin Jefferson | 6.46 | 78.01% | 5.07 | 12.43 |
| Garrett Wilson | 6.36 | 74.36% | 5.05 | 14.42 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 6.33 | 80.52% | 3.63 | 15.74 |
| Mike Evans | 6.31 | 79.88% | 3.30 | 17.05 |
| Drake London | 6.30 | 75.70% | 3.60 | 13.68 |
| Nico Collins | 6.28 | 80.11% | 6.07 | 12.50 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 6.23 | 85.62% | 4.54 | 12.10 |
| Courtland Sutton | 6.15 | 73.43% | 2.55 | 17.62 |
| Tee Higgins | 6.13 | 75.57% | 3.41 | 16.64 |
| DK Metcalf | 6.09 | 71.04% | 4.33 | 19.47 |
| Calvin Ridley | 6.05 | 69.03% | 4.05 | 18.17 |
| Jameson Williams | 5.58 | 74.89% | 7.87 | 16.65 |
| Tyreek Hill | 5.51 | 80.06% | 3.91 | 17.05 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 5.49 | 81.38% | 5.40 | 13.51 |
| CeeDee Lamb | 5.28 | 74.99% | 6.11 | 11.37 |
| Marvin Harrison | 4.90 | 67.61% | 2.85 | 17.78 |
| D.J. Moore | 4.77 | 77.32% | 5.69 | 9.63 |
| Zay Flowers | 4.73 | 76.93% | 6.69 | 9.20 |
| Ladd McConkey | 4.68 | 81.83% | 5.17 | 10.25 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 4.62 | 72.39% | 4.47 | 14.42 |
| Jauan Jennings | 4.55 | 79.88% | 3.58 | 11.94 |
| Keenan Allen | 4.51 | 70.46% | 3.83 | 13.52 |
| Cooper Kupp | 4.45 | 76.65% | 4.46 | 10.22 |
| Jordan Addison | 4.44 | 79.31% | 3.79 | 15.13 |
| Darnell Mooney | 4.40 | 73.82% | 4.52 | 14.07 |
| Rome Odunze | 3.98 | 76.44% | 5.29 | 15.88 |
| Quentin Johnston | 3.93 | 69.48% | 5.86 | 13.09 |
| Xavier Worthy | 3.89 | 68.74% | 6.49 | 16.55 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 3.25 | 79.61% | 5.19 | 14.24 |
| Tank Dell | 3.05 | 76.91% | 3.82 | 13.50 |
| Khalil Shakir | 2.70 | 78.81% | 8.27 | 4.34 |
| Jayden Reed | 2.61 | 77.82% | 7.42 | 8.84 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 2.38 | 79.10% | 2.21 | 14.80 |
| Deebo Samuel | 2.25 | 68.71% | 9.03 | 6.43 |
| Michael Pittman | 1.88 | 73.51% | 4.10 | 6.30 |
| Demario Douglas | 1.82 | 83.22% | 5.86 | 6.98 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 1.81 | 72.77% | 4.41 | 6.01 |
| Josh Downs | 1.70 | 75.57% | 5.76 | 3.06 |
| Elijah Moore | 1.54 | 73.81% | 2.33 | 12.53 |
| Ray-Ray McCloud | 0.73 | 77.88% | 5.16 | 5.89 |
Remember, this is for evaluating changing situations, a player who was a great fantasy asset last year that has a similar situation should not be faded just because he is average/bad on the list. The time to fade said player would be if his situation got worse.
This is brand new to me so I would love to hear some feedback, especially any comments on names that you feel are out of place, whether it's an encouraging sign for a lesser valued player or a concerning sign for a highly drafted player.
Posted Jul 29, 2025, 4:41 PM UTC