r/cryptocurrenseaβ€’
jonngan

πŸš€ Penny Stock Screener Results - 2025-08-05

πŸ”₯ TOP DOUBLING CANDIDATES

#1: ARDX - Score: 100

  • Price: $5.13 | Market Cap: $1,227,378,176
  • Daily Change: +16.9% | Volume Spike: 3.4x
  • Analyst Target: $11.09 (+116.2% potential)
  • Reasons: Moderate price (<$10), Small cap (<$2B), High volume spike, Strong daily momentum, Strong weekly momentum, High analyst targets, Strong revenue growth, Low institutional ownership

#2: ONDS - Score: 100

  • Price: $3.07 | Market Cap: $551,252,224
  • Daily Change: +15.0% | Volume Spike: 3.0x
  • Analyst Target: $2.50 (-18.6% potential)
  • Reasons: Low price (<$5), Small cap (<$2B), High volume spike, Strong daily momentum, Strong weekly momentum, High volatility, Strong revenue growth, Low institutional ownership

#3: PGEN - Score: 100

  • Price: $1.93 | Market Cap: $569,697,408
  • Daily Change: +9.7% | Volume Spike: 1.5x
  • Analyst Target: $6.00 (+210.9% potential)
  • Reasons: Low price (<$5), Small cap (<$2B), Strong daily momentum, Strong weekly momentum, High volatility, High analyst targets, Strong revenue growth, Low institutional ownership

#4: LRMR - Score: 100

  • Price: $3.74 | Market Cap: $320,108,096
  • Daily Change: +13.0% | Volume Spike: 5.8x
  • Analyst Target: $20.60 (+450.8% potential)
  • Reasons: Low price (<$5), Micro cap (<$500M), High volume spike, Strong daily momentum, High volatility, High analyst targets, Low institutional ownership

#5: ESPR - Score: 85

  • Price: $1.62 | Market Cap: $321,082,400
  • Daily Change: +8.7% | Volume Spike: 1.7x
  • Analyst Target: $5.79 (+257.1% potential)
  • Reasons: Low price (<$5), Micro cap (<$500M), Strong daily momentum, High volatility, High analyst targets, Low institutional ownership

🎯 KELLY CRITERION PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION ($1,000)

Portfolio Summary:

  • Total Allocated: $156
  • Cash Remaining: $844
  • Allocation %: 15.6%
  • Number of Positions: 3

Top Kelly Allocations:

  1. AMPX - $63 (6.3%)

    • Shares: 7 | Win Rate: 46.2%
    • Kelly Score: 12.6% | Doubling Score: 80
  2. YALA - $47 (4.7%)

    • Shares: 5 | Win Rate: 50.2%
    • Kelly Score: 9.5% | Doubling Score: 65
  3. ONDS - $46 (4.6%)

    • Shares: 14 | Win Rate: 49.4%
    • Kelly Score: 9.2% | Doubling Score: 100

πŸ“Š CONFIDENCE-WEIGHTED KELLY ANALYSIS

Confidence-Weighted Summary:

  • Total Allocated: $67
  • Cash Remaining: $933
  • Allocation %: 6.7%
  • Number of Positions: 3

Comparison:

  • Standard Kelly: $156
  • Confidence-Weighted: $67
  • Difference: $-89 (-57.3%)

Top Confidence-Weighted Allocations:

  1. AMPX - $27 (2.7%)

    • Confidence: 59.9% | Sample Size: 251 days
    • Win Rate: 46.2% | Volatility: 8.5%
  2. YALA - $20 (2.0%)

    • Confidence: 59.6% | Sample Size: 251 days
    • Win Rate: 50.2% | Volatility: 3.0%
  3. ONDS - $20 (2.0%)

    • Confidence: 59.9% | Sample Size: 251 days
    • Win Rate: 49.4% | Volatility: 8.3%

πŸ† MEDALLION-STYLE UNIFIED RISK-REWARD ANALYSIS

Medallion-Style Summary:

  • Total Allocated: $33
  • Cash Remaining: $967
  • Allocation %: 3.3%
  • Number of Positions: 3

Medallion-Style Summary:

  • Total Allocated: $33
  • Cash Remaining: $967
  • Allocation %: 3.3%
  • Number of Positions: 3

Top Medallion-Style Allocations:

  1. AMPX - $15 (1.5%)

    • Unified Score: 55.2% | Kelly: 54.0% | Sortino: 12.2% | Calmar: 100.0%
    • Kelly Ratio: 5.4% | Sortino Ratio: 0.24 | Calmar Ratio: 10.64
    • Holding Period: 1 days | Risk: High Risk - Very Short Term | Rebalance: Daily
  2. YALA - $10 (1.0%)

    • Unified Score: 49.0% | Kelly: 40.1% | Sortino: 9.7% | Calmar: 100.0%
    • Kelly Ratio: 4.0% | Sortino Ratio: 0.19 | Calmar Ratio: 5.57
    • Holding Period: 2 days | Risk: Medium-High Risk - Short Term | Rebalance: Every 1-2 days
  3. ONDS - $8 (0.8%)

    • Unified Score: 42.9% | Kelly: 39.1% | Sortino: 7.6% | Calmar: 83.4%
    • Kelly Ratio: 3.9% | Sortino Ratio: 0.15 | Calmar Ratio: 2.50
    • Holding Period: 1 days | Risk: High Risk - Very Short Term | Rebalance: Daily

πŸ’‘ KELLY CRITERION INSIGHTS

β€’ Kelly Criterion maximizes long-term geometric growth β€’ Confidence-weighted Kelly adjusts for uncertainty in estimates β€’ Higher confidence = larger position sizes β€’ Lower confidence = smaller position sizes (more conservative) β€’ Half-Kelly (50%) provides ~90% of growth with half the volatility β€’ Rebalance monthly based on updated Kelly calculations

πŸ† MEDALLION-STYLE PRINCIPLES

β€’ Unified Risk-Reward Metric: Combines Kelly, Sortino, and Calmar ratios β€’ Kelly Criterion (40%): Optimal position sizing for growth β€’ Sortino Ratio (30%): Focus on downside risk only β€’ Calmar Ratio (30%): Drawdown control and capital preservation β€’ Risk-Adjusted Kelly: Kelly allocation weighted by unified score β€’ Short-term focus: Designed for active trading strategies

🎯 OPTIONS OPPORTUNITIES

Found 78 high-reward option opportunities:

#1: BTG - Score: 100

  • Strike: $3.50 | Cost: $0.25 | Expiry: 2025-08-15
  • Current Price: $3.71
  • 25% move: 5% return
  • 50% move: 8% return
  • 100% move: 16% return
  • Reasons: High Gamma, High Delta, High Vega

#2: BTG - Score: 100

  • Strike: $3.50 | Cost: $0.35 | Expiry: 2025-09-19
  • Current Price: $3.71
  • 25% move: 3% return
  • 50% move: 6% return
  • 100% move: 11% return
  • Reasons: High Gamma, High Delta, High Vega

#3: ARDX - Score: 95

  • Strike: $5.00 | Cost: $0.30 | Expiry: 2025-08-15
  • Current Price: $5.13
  • 25% move: 5% return
  • 50% move: 9% return
  • 100% move: 18% return
  • Reasons: High Gamma, Good Delta, High Vega

Generated by Penny Stock Screener with Kelly Criterion Analysis Not financial advice - Always do your own research! Kelly Criterion optimizes position sizing for long-term growth

Posted Aug 5, 2025, 10:15 PM UTC

10
Loading comments…