Is considering Makar over McDavid at 2nd overall just purely overthinking it?

In an 8 team league where lineup is just F,D,G. At pick 2.07 I imagine I can get one of Panarin/Kaprizov/Conner and then maybe Eichel at 3.02.

Points: G:3 / A:2 / PPG:1.5 / PPA 1.5 / SHG:1.5 / SHA 1 / +- 0.2 / GWG 1 / HAT 3 / SOG 0.2 / Hit 0.2 / Block 1

I feel like the gap from Makar to the #2 dman is massive in this scoring format; he averaged 7.3 last season while Werenski averaged 6.4 (and I don't expect Werenski to repeat that exact production again).

Makar averaged the 4th most points per game only behind Mack, Kuch and Drai last season