Chance an American living abroad for CMC and Middlebury ED1 who has mid ECs and stats

IGCSE : 5 A* 4A

AS Level: Math A, English General Paper A, Economics A, Physics A, Chemistry C

A levels Predicted : FM A, Economics A*, Physics B, Math A, English General Paper A, Chemistry B

SAT : 1500

Econ LOR is a 9/10 and math lor is a 6/10

essays are a 8.5/10 I believe

US citizen Indian Male living abroad, upper middle income

ECs:

Substack Econ & Policy Newsletter ~ 80 subscribers

school Newsletter Writer - will have written 4 economic policy pieces

Marketing & Outreach coordinater @ NGO where I raised around 1000$

NGO Community Service in grade 11,12 ()

Peer Tutor (Grade 10) - 50 hrs and taught around 15 children

Informal Peer Tutor (Grade 11/12)

policy writer @ reputed indian public policy journal

Mountain trekker

Do I even have a realistic chance at CMC ED1? Or should I switch to Middlebury ED1