Extract. 

"The world has greeted the new ceasefire agreement between Israel and the Palestinians with cautious optimism. However, beneath the diplomatic courtesy and carefully selected words lies an unpleasant fact: this agreement is built on sand. The ceasefire, hailed by world leaders as a breakthrough, is no more than a temporary pause in a war that shows no signs of coming to an end. Four primary lethal factors guarantee its collapse, and the resumption of hostilities is not a matter of if, but when.

# The hostage gambit and Netanyahu’s endgame

nothing less than the absolute destruction of Hamas. He has failed to accomplish that mission spectacularly. The moment Israeli hostages and recovered remains return to Israel, Netanyahu will be faced with a stark decision between his own political survival and holding to an agreement that yields neither victory nor security. ✂✂

# The disarmament deadlock

Israel’s insistence on the complete disarmament of Hamas is predicated upon a fundamental misunderstanding as well as wilful misrepresentation of Hamas’ nature and resolve. Hamas has stated, time and again, that disarmament will come after the achievement of a Palestinian state. This is not obstinacy rhetoric; it is existential logic. 🌶✂

# The guarantee that never was

The most glaring weakness of the agreement, perhaps, is that it includes no enforceable guarantees whatsoever. President Donald Trump, for all his self-congratulatory announcements of “peace in the Middle East,” has conspicuously refused to provide American backing for the implementation of the accord. ✂✂

# The Fpoison of revenge

Strategic considerations aside, the most lethal of all forces: revenge. Hamas has accomplished what most deemed impossible — humiliated one of the world’s most technically advanced militaries, outwitted its intelligence services, and transformed Israel from a Western darling into the most hated country on the planet. ✂✂

# Conclusion

✂✂ Without credible international guarantees, without resolving the question of Palestinian sovereignty, and without tempering Israel’s desire for military retribution, this accord will soon shatter. The world may hail this temporary cessation, but those who look closely recognise it for what it is: the calm before the next storm — a truce written in disappearing ink."



The delusional ceasefire and the inevitable resumption of fighting