Q3 Earnings Predictions Thread

Prediction

I thought it would be fun to create a predictions thread for Q3. We can each provide our best guesstimates and then look back on the thread on Oct 30th to see how close we were.

My Guesses

  • Revenue: $631 million
  • EPS: 0.65 $/share
  • US dau: 62 million
  • Int'l dau: 52 million
  • US ARPU: $8.5/user
  • Int'l ARPU: $2.0/user

My reasoning

I'm assuming that DPA (which launched in Q2) are starting to build up a momentum. This means Reddit likely saw more adoption in Q3, and Reddit has more training data (product clicks, more product catalogs, purchases) from advertiser to optimize the DPA ads.

Posted Oct 11, 2025, 7:48 PM UTC

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