What are your honest thoughts on my economic risk monitoring system?

Hey economists! I created an economic risk monitoring system, what are your honest thoughts? Some thing’s I’m noting are the similar trends with the yield curve and the 2020 lead time on the SAHM rule. Although my system does trend on the higher side it is also more decisive. What are your honest opinions? And could I make a strong research paper on this?

Thank you for your time!

https://imgur.com/a/V4eudZ9#cRsxzkE

(Benchmark model comparison)

Posted Nov 4, 2025, 10:25 PM UTC

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