Week 3 Survery Results

Hey gamblers! Let's discuss the survery results, as a group.

(N = 16)

Does the surveryed population know who they are?

Results suggest no. Only 43.8% of the population answer "yes" with 18.8% reporting they did not, and the remaining 37.4% responding with a variety of ramblings:

• "This does change periodically"

• "i can"

• "sure"

• The most common custom response was "i can"

It is also interesting to note that 37.5% of respondents gave a different response when we challenged their initial attempt at identifying themselves. The most common first responses given were "i am" and "bluspy", with two each. There were no duplicate responses when the respondents were challenged.

Week 3 Trades

Week 3 was host to 15 trades, with 16/30 teams participating in the trade market. 60 players were traded across the 13 traditional 2-team trades and 2 3-team trades. On average, 2.13 teams participated in each trade, with 4 players changing hands on average. 2 deals included the guarantee of cash changing hands and 1 deal had the option of cash or a PTBNL (the GM picked the cash in week 4).

The Diamondbacks and Orioles led the way, participating in 4 trades each.

• t1. ARI - 4 trades

• t1. BAL - 4 trades

• t3. MIN - 3 trades

• t3. SFG - 3 trades

Despite being involved in only two trades all week, the Giants' deals saw the most teams being moved with 17 total players involved in their deals.

• 1. SFG - 17 players (2 trades)

• t2. WSN - 15 players (2 trades)

• t2. ARI - 15 players (4 trades)

The Orioles, Rays, and Mets were involved in 11 players having to find new apartments.

How balanced were the trades this week?

Overall, out of 183 votes cast on balanced/lopsided, 62.3% (114 votes) were for "balanced". If you look at the net of balanced-lopsided votes on individual moves (a metric we'll dub "Balance Score", or "BS"), trades earned a net +45 from 183 votes (24.6%).

"Unadjusted "Balanced Trade" Votes

• 1. ARI get: Calvin Faucher, Jesse Bergin. MIA get: Pavin Smith (12 votes)

• t2. MIN get: Alex Jackson. BAL get: Daiber De Los Santos (11 votes)

• t2. SFG get: Keythel Key and Travis d'Arnaud. ANA get: Andrew Knizner (11 votes)

• t2. TBR get: Luis Guerrero (BOS). BOS get: Adrian Del Castillo, JD Dix, and Juan Morillo (ARI). ARI get: Hunter Dobbins (BOS) and Tristan Gray (TBR) (11 votes)

• 5. HOU get: Bryce Jarvis. ARI get: Cash, or PTBNL. (10 votes)

Way too difficult for me to write out today. Very tired.

Faucher-Pavin: very fun and like for both

A whole lot of mid for a whole lot of mid

Unadjusted "Lopsided Trade" Votes

• 1. OAK get: Anthony Volpe. NYY get Luis Severino, and cash (10 votes)

*t2. SFG get: Mackenzie Gore, Jake Irvin. WSN get: Bryce Eldridge, Landon Roupp, Joel Peguero, Jhonny Level, and Geremli Maldonado (9 votes)

*t2. ANA get: Jason Alexander. HOU get: top-100 prospect Ryan Johnson and Walbert Urena (9 votes)

(After these three, it's a long fall to the teams tied for 4th at 5 votes apiece.)

HOU-LAA (George Costanza deal): Jason Alexander was a handy fill in for Houston, but getting a T100 prospect for him is a bit much (N.B.—this is only the case if we choose to believe the self-serving descriptor of Johnson as a "top 100 prospect" which is currently undetermined)

Volpe trade is one of the craziest things I’ve seen in a while

Another huge win for Oakland which now gets to try and fix Volpe while shedding salary simultaneously. Incomprehensible logic for NYY to take on significant additional payroll (that could have been used more productively in FA) to add a starter who likely ranks ~7th on the depth chart in projected quality.

Robbie Ray deal is just an incredible meme of a deal, guy was good last year nad was functionally a celery dump

But what about BS? There might be more truth to uncover via Balanced Score (Balanced Votes - Lopsided Votes).

• t1. MIN get: Alex Jackson. BAL get: Daiber De Los Santos (+11 BS)

• t1. ARI get: Calvin Faucher, Jesse Bergin. MIA get: Pavin Smith (+11 BS)

• 3. TBR get: Luis Guerrero (BOS). BOS get: Adrian Del Castillo, JD Dix, and Juan Morillo (ARI). ARI get: Hunter Dobbins (BOS) and Tristan Gray (TBR) (+10 BS)
• 13. PIT get: Robbie Ray, Ryan Walker, and $9.8m. SFG get: Bryan Reynolds (whose age 36 CO turns into a PO), Dennis Santana, Nick Yorke, Sammy Stafura, and Darrell Morel (-4 BS)
• 14. ANA get: Jason Alexander. HOU get: top-100 prospect Ryan Johnson and Walbert Urena (-5 BS)
• 15. OAK get: Anthony Volpe. NYY get Luis Severino, and cash (-7 BS)

How realistic were the trades this week?

Trades were considered to be a bit less realistic than they were fair. 92/162 votes cast on realistic/unrealistic were favourable (56.8% realistic). That's around 5% less realistic than we were fair. Our "Realism Score" (or, "RS") was much lower than our BS, even adjusting for the difference in vote volume. Our raw RS was +22 (13.6%).

Unadjusted "Realistic Trade" Leaders

• 1. SDP get: Grayson Rodriguez. BAL get: Adrian Morejon (12 votes)
• 2. MIN get: Alex Jackson. BAL get: Daiber De Los Santos (11 votes)
• 3. ARI get: Calvin Faucher, Jesse Bergin. MIA get: Pavin Smith (10 votes)
• 4. TBR get: Ashton Izzi, Hunter Cranton, and Kristian Robinson. ARI get: Ian Seymour and Garrett Cleavinger. (9 votes)

You prolly shouldn't have used checkboxes cause for the ones where I didn't know I just selected all of them.

Proven Closer Calvin Faucher

Big get for the DBacks, Cash/PTBNL is a massive get for Bryce Jarvis

But what about the least realistic, aka "Most "Unrealistic" Trade Votes, Unadjusted Leaders"

• 1. PIT get: Robbie Ray, Ryan Walker, and $9.8m. SFG get: Bryan Reynolds (whose age 36 CO turns into a PO), Dennis Santana, Nick Yorke, Sammy Stafura, and Darrell Morel (12 votes)

• t2. WSN get: Nick Moribito, Luis Torrens, Frankie Montas, and Ronny Mauricio. NYM get: Jacob Young, Trevor Williams, Orlando Ribalta, and Julian Fernandez (9 votes)

• t2. BAL get: Grant Holman (OAK). NYM get: Tyler O'Neill (BAL). OAK get: Mark Vientos (NYM) (9 votes)

• t2. OAK get: Anthony Volpe. NYY get Luis Severino, and cash (9 votes)

I kinda see what the giants are doing. Just feels like they could’ve avoided taking on Reynolds, assuming they don’t value Reynolds highly. If they like Reynolds, fair enough.

Ray is a good short term piece who helps their rotation and who SF could have used. Swapping that for Reynolds's contract is not a smart move for SF either short or long term. In addition, I think Walker is a better reliever than Santana.

The Sevy/Volpe trade kinda sucks but it is funny and it would make so many Yankees fans I know happy so I like it in the end

Don't think the Giants would trade Eldridge for a non-star player and don't think Mac Gore is quite a star

The people are asking though. They're BANGING down the surverist's door... what about RS? Can RS put some separation into the pack?

• 1. SDP get: Grayson Rodriguez. BAL get: Adrian Morejon (+12 RS)

• t2. ARI get: Calvin Faucher, Jesse Bergin. MIA get: Pavin Smith (+10 RS)

• t2. MIN get: Alex Jackson. BAL get: Daiber De Los Santos (+10 RS)

• t12. WSN get: Nick Moribito, Luis Torrens, Frankie Montas, and Ronny Mauricio. NYM get: Jacob Young, Trevor Williams, Orlando Ribalta, and Julian Fernandez (-7 RS)

• t12. BAL get: Grant Holman (OAK). NYM get: Tyler O'Neill (BAL). OAK get: Mark Vientos (NYM) (-7 RS)

• PIT get: Robbie Ray, Ryan Walker, and $9.8m. SFG get: Bryan Reynolds (whose age 36 CO turns into a PO), Dennis Santana, Nick Yorke, Sammy Stafura, and Darrell Morel (-7 RS)

• 15. OAK get: Anthony Volpe. NYY get Luis Severino, and cash (-8 RS)

So what about SIGNINGS?! There have been a ton of insane ones of those lately.

In week 3, 18 players were signed for a total guarantee of $1,918,250,000 (mean $106.6m, median $73.5m) over a total of 82 seasons (mean 4.6 and median 4.5 contract years).

Agent FA value leaderboard, Week 3

• 1. Jori ($764.5m of contracts from 5 contracts, at $152.9m/6yrs on average.
• 2. Kuhan ($444.25m from 5, $88.85m/3.8yr average)
• 3. Jiggy ($389m from 3, $129.7m/5 average)
• 4. Desmond ($320.5m from 5, $64.1/3.6yr average)

Teams FA spend leaderboard, Week 3

• 1. SFG - $450m from 1 contract and 12 years
• 2. NYY - $245m from 2 contracts and 8 years
• 3. STL - $192m from 1 contract and 7 years

Raw, unadjusted "Realistic" votes

• 1. MIN: Dustin May for 1 year and $11m (11 votes)
• 2. LAD: Robert Suarez for 3 years and $54m (10 votes)
• 3. NYM: Cody Ponce for 3 years and $36m (9 votes)

Minnesota is a great landing spot for Dustin May. He could ball out next year and get a nice return at the deadline.

Cody Ponce was on my shortlist and I totally forgot to check in on him. Neat lil guy for 2026.

Poor Padres. Poor Suarez (about to be Scotted)

A few I put both realistic and unrealistic (Alonso, tucker for example): these are ones I think the fit and need makes sense so realistic but the teams haven’t always made similar moves at least often. Schwarber is both realistic and ridiculous but he’s also a big “off the field/clubhouse guy”. Suarez, team needs him but they don’t spend irl but can’t hold that against GM

Raw unadjusted "Unrealistic" votes

• t1. CIN: Devin Williams for 4 years and $72m (7 votes)

• t1. MIL: Shota Imanaga for 4 years and $75m (6 votes)

• t3. NYY: Ha-Seong Kim for 5 years and $70m (6 votes)

• t3. ANA: JT Realmuto for 5 years and $62.5m (6 votes)

That’s a lot for [insert player name here]

That Imanaga deal is going to age like fucking milk.

Next, the incomprehensible values: what the hell is that Realmuto deal?

But what about RS?!

• 1. MIN: Dustin May for 1 year and $11m (+11 RS)
• 2. LAD: Robert Suarez for 3 years and $54m (+10 RS)
• 3. NYM: Cody Ponce for 3 years and $36m (+7 RS)

• t12. ANA: JT Realmuto for 5 years and $62.5m (-1 RS)

• t12. MIL: Shota Imanaga for 4 years and $75m (-1 RS)

• t12. STL: Tatsuya Imai for 7 years and $192m with heinous options

• 15. NYY: Ha-Seong Kim for 5 years and $70m (-2 RS)
• 16. CIN: Devin Williams for 4 years and $72m (-4 RS)

So with that out of the way... what was the best for the agent?

• t1. LAD: Trent Grisham for 4 years and $80m with 1/4m CO (4m buyout) (11 votes)

• t1. MIL: Shota Imanaga for 4 years and $75m (11 votes)

• t1. ANA: JT Realmuto for 5 years and $62.5m (11 votes)

• t1. CIN: Devin Williams for 4 years and $72m

• 5. BAL: Pete Alonso for 5 years and $156.25m and a CO for 1/$31.25m with $5m buyout

This is just a general comment for all of my dudes I am the goated agent

I’m sorry but 4/80 for trent grisham??

Voted Eugenio Suarez as realistic (contract) and unrealistic (club)

Better for the team?

• 1. WSN: Taylor Rogers for 1 year and $6m (10 votes)
• 2. MIN: Dustin May for 1 year and $11m (6 votes)
• 3. LAD: Robert Suarez for 3 years and $54m (5 votes)

Nats for Taylor is a pretty good fit at THAT price.

Dustin May is the perfect Twins target for next year. And they thrive off White POSTHYPE Pitchers.

Dodgers starting a whole bullpen of YES Robert Suarez!

Now let's rate some fucking GM's, motherfucker

Some topline metrics for you ogling pleasure... 211/286 easy/hard to deal with votes went to... the easy side! We are 73.8% easy! And we are shockingly, only 29.5% crazy.

In what might not be terribly surprising but still remains very disappointing, we hate each other's sims. Only 34% of votes cast in the best/worst dichotomy were for "best". That's tough and we should reflect on that.

Easiest to deal with

• 1. Raj (ARI) (10 votes)

• t2. eoro (HOU) (9 votes)

• t2. pjd (PHI) (9 votes)

• t2. Pirates GM (PIT) (9 votes)

• t2. AJ_CC (STL) (9 votes)

A couple of fun negotiations

Hardest to deal with

• 1. CoryGM (Cubs) 6 votes)
• 2. Dylan (WSN) (5 votes)
• 3. Like 20 people with 4 votes

I think vslyke and Cory are doin their things as usual

Ease Score (ES) leaders (high is good)

• 1. Raj (ARI) (+10 ES)

• t2. pjd (PHI) (+9 ES)

*t2. Pirates Man (PIT) (+9 ES)

*t2. AJ_CC (STL) (+9 ES)

• t27. Bluspy (BAL) (+1 ES)

• t27. cst-rdt (+1 ES)

• 29. Dylan (WSN (+/-0 ES)
• 30. CoryGM (CHC) (-1 ES)

Okay, and who's the CRAZIEST

• 1. bluspy (BAL) (7 votes)

• t2. retro (HOU) (6 votes)

• t2. drum (COL) (6 votes)

• t2. experge (ANA) (6 votes)

• t2. pjd (PHI) (6 votes)

And who's the sanest?

• 1. Royals (10 votes)
• 2. so many people at 9 votes

But by Crazy Score? (Higher is CRAZIER)

• t1. bluspy (+4 CS)

• t1. experge (+4 CS)

• t3. Dylan (+1 CS)

• t3. drum (+1 CS)

The real moment we've all be waiting for... Best GM

• 1. jive (6 votes)
• 2. Pirates GM (PIT) (4 votes)

• t3. vslyke (BOS) (3 votes)

• t3. eoro (HOU) (3 votes)

• t3. futhatsy (NYM) (3 votes)

• t3. Raj (ARI) (3 votes)

And Worst...

• 1. cst-rdt (NYY) (11 votes)
• 2. experge (ANA) (5 votes)
• 3. Brewers whoever that is (4 votes)

• millions of people at 3 votes

Raj is the best GM and nobody else comes close

Adam for best GM - nice trades and signings; cst for worst - hate that Volpe deal and the Belli signing is gonna look bad quite soon.

Retro you would've gotten a best gm vote too but I just can't sign off on trading Yordan lol. (EDITOR'S NOTE: THIS IS JUST FOR WEEK 3!!!)

Good dodgers moves. Bad angels moves. Most “hard to deal with” are just slow to reply. Crazy AND sane people are mostly sane who commit to bits.

Now the Agents... our collective enemies.

There's no such thing as a good agent...

Easiest to deal with

• 1. Desmond (8 votes)

• t2. Kuhan (6 votes)

• t2. Jiggy (6 votes)

• 4. Jori (4 votes)

Hardest to deal with

• 1. Jori (5 votes)

• t2. Kuhan (4 votes)

• t2. Jiggy (4 votes)

• 4. Desmond (1 vote)

Craziest agent

• 1. Jori (7 votes)
• 2. Jiggy (4 votes)
• 3. Kuhan (2 votes)
• 4. Desmond (1 votes)

Sanest Agent

• 1. Kuhan (8 votes)
• 2. Desmond (7 votes)
• 3. Jiggy (5 votes)
• 4. Jori (4 votes)

Best Agent

• 1. Kuhan (8 votes)
• 2. Desmond (7 votes)
• 3. Jiggy (5 votes)
• 4. Jori (2 votes)

Worst agent

• 1. Jiggy (3 votes)
• 2. Jori (2 votes)

• t4. Desmond & Kuhan (1 vote)

And just as a treat... The Agent Triple Slash

• 1. Jori - 50 "better for the agent signings" vs. 12 "better for the team" (net +38)
• 2. Desmond - 40/20/+20
• 3. Kuhan - 36/21/+15
• 4. Jiggy - 24/10/+14

I'm gassed I'm just sharing the spreadsheet next time.