No small boat crossing for a month

So as the title says there hasn't been any small boats crossing the English channel since the 9th of November and I've not seen any mention of it anywhere. Obviously this could be temporary there are lots of factors including bad weather but as this is the longest consistent break in small boat arrivals in 7 years I'm inclined to believe there might be something more.

A lot has happened in the past month that could have affected it including French police now being allowed to intercept some boats already in the water, British vigilantes going over to France to disrupt boats themselves, Mahmood new policy announcements as well as the general time of year and it can't last forever obviously but with all the doomerism about illegal immigration and how people talk as if it will never improve I thought I would point out what I've noticed.

Knowing my luck this will age badly but I feel considering this break in arrivals as well as the lower amount of illegal immigration in Oct and Nov compared to last year that the numbers might be moving in a positive direction. We will have to wait and see but what does everyone think?

Posted Dec 10, 2025, 3:05 PM UTC

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