Chances of acceptance at IUB

I’m a senior and I just applied to IUB (in state) a few days ago. I applied way later than intended because of a confusion I had with essays. My intended major is arts management at O’Neill if that makes a difference. I know that they aren’t super selective but I keep getting told different things so I’m a bit confused and nervous. I currently have a 3.1 weighted GPA. I had a rough first two years of high school (back then I had a 1.8 GPA or so) so I’m worried I messed up from the very beginning since I should’ve done better. What are my chances of getting accepted, and does applying this late lower my chances?