UW-Madison Deferral. RD Chances?

As the title says. After 2 painstakingly long months of waiting, I opened my phone at 12 am to a deferral. I’m really not confident in my stats and am looking for feedback. I applied for a Physics B.S., if that matters. I am also OOS.

- 3.3 GPA (biggest nerf IMO. I had a lot of trouble with motivation and discovered I was autistic and had a seizure disorder. long story.)

- 30 ACT (with science)

- Academic Team Advisor, state finalist in science, 4 years active

- FFA state champion high individual

- FFA chapter officer (parliamentarian), 4 years active

- Student council, Class Treasurer

- AP Calc AB (only one my school offers)

- 2 honors classes (math, english)

- 4 dual credit classes junior year, 2 this year which has not been reported yet

- My essay was focused around coming from an impoverished background and wanting to improve education in areas like mine while raising awareness/activism for autism, LGBTQ+, things like that. it also helps to note i am not confident in my writing skills.

Any thoughts? My other option is Penn State, who accepted me EA mid December.