Last week's topic (includes estimates for the week of 01/26 - 02/02): 

Arena/Assault Overview and Thresholds - February 2nd

The information provided in the opening post is for the season starting on 02/10. To find the estimates for the season ending on 02/09, please use the link above. For an up-to-date look at the standings for the season ending on 02/09, please refer to the user rankings posted in the comments below.

Week 06 - 02/09/26 - 02/16/26 Information and Estimates:

Season: Fire/Water and Chaos - Arena Assault, Aether Raids Chaos V4

Upcoming seasons

^(02/16 - Fire/??? and Astra/Anima - Allegiance Battle,) ^(Possible Summoner Duels S)

^(02/23 - Fire/??? and Light/Dark - Arena Assault)

^(03/02 - Water/Earth and Astra/Anima - Allegiance Battle,) ^(Possible Summoner Duels R)

^(03/09 - Water/Fire and Light/Dark - Arena Assault, Arena Chaos V7)

Arena Bonus Heroes: L!Elise, E!Byleth, I!Hilda, I!Azura, I!Mia, I!Minerva, Caellach, Nifl, Leif, Alfonse

Next Week’s Arena Bonus Heroes: Likely to include L!Elise,V!Céline, V!Louis, V!Hortensia, V!Veyle, V!Takumi, Y!Tana, Galle, ?, Alfonse.

NOTE1: According to the update, the first legendary from the bonus units will always cycle between the 10 newest, but with a new legendary this rule does not apply. After that, in the upcoming fire season, the cycle will be M!Corrin -> Black Knight -> Elise.

NOTE2: We will be marking the ? as the bonus hero who goes on random from V1 to V5. Note that I do not have any datamined information to go on and this is just my best guess based on the pattern.

Estimated Thresholds for the Arena:

Tier 19.5 - 3754 (~732-736) + 60 (12x5 bonus KOs) per match.

Tier 20 - 3880 (770+) + 60 (12x5 bonus KOs) per match.

Tier 20.5 - 3894 (~772+) + 60 (12x5 bonus KOs) per match.

Tier 21 - 3938 (~776+) + 60 (12x5 bonus KOs) per match.

NOTE: With the introduction of Chosen Heroes and the extra bst bump; do expect errors in those scores; since there are no real data to work with for now. 

NOTE2: Adjusted scores for tier 20.5 from feedback. Thank you for the contribution.

Estimated Thresholds for Arena Assault:

Top 5k - 5248 (~748+ per match) + 28 (4x7 blessed units)

Top 3k - 5362 (~762+ per match) + 28 (4x7 blessed units)

Top 1k - 5386 (~772+ per match) + 28 (4x7 blessed units)

Aether Raids Bonus Heroes: Hræsvelgr, Brammimond, I!Hilda, I!Azura, I!Mia, I!Minerva, Galle, Caellach, E!Byleth, Release Version 4.

Aether Raids Bonus Structure: Dark Shrine (O), Dark Shrine (D).

Estimated Thresholds for Aether Raids:

Top 6k - 20960

Top 3k - 21260

Top 1k - 21390

NOTE: Increased scores for Chaos Season.

OBS: Since Chaos season is considered a separate season, if last season you were demoted it won’t reflect in this season. Also, no Thrones are awarded in Chaos seasons. 

Estimated Thresholds for Resonant Battles:

Interval 19.5 - 440 (Perfect score with 2 Harmonized Heroes)

Interval 20 - 449 (Perfect score with 2 Harmonized Heroes and at least four merges between all Harmonized Heroes)

Interval 20.5 - 453 (Perfect score with 2 or more Harmonized Heroes and at least eight merges between all Harmonized Heroes)

Interval 21 - 463 (Perfect score with 2 or more Harmonized Heroes and at least thirteen merges between all Harmonized Heroes)

Current Bonus Titles: Blazing Blade and Fates

Eligible Harmonized Heroes: H!Tiki, G!Roy, S!Karla, N!Igrene, S!Celica, G!Fir, H!B!Lyn, I!Hilda, P!Veronica, H!Azura, W!Cordelia, HF!Nephenee, W!Ivy.

Estimated Thresholds for Allegiance Battle:

Top 5k - 1030 (732 +150 +25 +24 +99)

Top 3k - 1046 (748 +150 +25 +24 +99)

Top 1k - 1058 (760 +150 +25 +24 +99)

NOTE: Allegiance Battle won’t be held this week.

Upcoming Summoner Duels Survival (49th) Bonus Allies: Likely to include L!Elise, E!Byleth, E!Celica.

Summoner Skills Available: TBD

Estimated Thresholds for Summoner Duels R:

Top 6k - 2800

Top 3k - 3550

Top 1k - 4800

NOTE: Summoner Duels R will not be held this week. The next event will probably be on March 5th.

Estimated Thresholds for Summoner Duels S:

Top 6k - 3200

Top 3k - 4200

Top 1k - 5100

NOTE: Summoner Duels S will not be held this week. The next event will probably be next week.

These estimates are solely our opinion and may not reflect the actual cutoffs. If you believe the cutoffs are inaccurate or if you spot any errors, please comment below.

Your input is needed to help form accurate estimates! Please provide your rankings for the week of 02/02/26 - 02/09/26 using the template below:

Template for PC users:

Arena Tier XX

Score: X

Rank: X/Cutoff

Assault Top Yk

Score: Y

Rank: Y

Aether Raids Top Zk

Score: Z

Rank: Z

Defense Loss: -Z

Resonant Battles Interval A

Score: A

Rank: A/Cutoff

Allegiance Battles Top Bk

Score: B

Rank: B

Summoner Duels R Top Ck

Score: C

Rank: C

Summoner Duels S Top Dk

Score: D

Rank: D

Template for Mobile users: Score Template

Important: If you're in Tier 20.5, only give the promotion cutoff. Tier 20 players that stay or get demoted can simply give the stay cutoff. If you have any doubts about your team score range, check out here

NOTE: If you would like to be informed about when these topics are posted, please DM any of us as there is a system in place for notifications.

 

Thank you!