❄️ Blizzard Megathread (Feb 22-23 2026)

Pinned:weather: BLIZZARD MEGA THREAD :subway-alert:

With the impending blizard impacting the tri-state area, I'm conjuring a megathread for predictions, information, and updates throughout the duration of the storm. Service impacts are possible to the NYC Subway, NYC Busses, LIRR, Metro North, PATH, and NJ Transit.

🚦 Status

The below chart will be updated as best possible during the event as larger announcements are made - please refer to official sources for the latest information. If you see a service change not reflected, please post in the comments below (feel free to tag me for visibility & notifications).

Service	Status	Last Updated
NYC Subway	`🟢 No Service Impacts`	`Sat Feb 21 - 12:00pm`
LIRR	`🟢 No Service Impacts`	`Sat Feb 21 - 12:00pm`
Metro North	`🟢 No Service Impacts`	`Sat Feb 21 - 12:00pm`
NJ Transit	`🟢 No Service Impacts`	`Sat Feb 21 - 12:00pm`
PATH	`🟢 No Service Impacts`	`Sat Feb 21 - 12:00pm`
NYC Busses	`🟢 No Service Impacts`	`Sat Feb 21 - 12:00pm`
Amtrak	`🔴 Some cancellations`	`Sat Feb 21 - 12:00pm`
Hudson Bergen Light Rail	`🟢 No Service Impacts`	`Sat Feb 21 - 12:00pm`
Newark Light Rail	`🟢 No Changes Announced`	`Sat Feb 21 - 12:00pm`

ℹ︎ Information

🗺Here's a map of how the NYC Subway would look without the above ground sections running
- When the snow accumulation is more than 8 inches, the subways will only run in the underground sections of the system. Express tracks will be used to store trains from the yards, and express service will stop until they are removed.
- You can tell this is about to happen before the MTA announces the service change based on real service alerts mentioning trains are being stored on express tracks - in prior years this has happened up to a few hours before the press conference event. Watch out for an 'Express to Local' alert and read the description to get an early warning. A press conference will be called before any changes take place.
For more details, visit the Winter Weather Wiki Page

❄️ Weather Forecast

Latest Forecast from NWS NY

Timing: Snow/mix starts Sunday AM, becoming heavy snow around Sunday afternoon/evening. Heavy snow continues until Monday afternoon depending on storm track.

General forecast as of Sat Feb 21 12:00pm EST: NY NWS has issued blizzard warnings for NYC, Long Island, and the coasts. A large range of 12 - 18"+ is forecasted to fall with whiteout conditions starting Sunday morning, gradually increasing to heavy snow starting on Sunday night into Monday Afternoon..

See comments for historical forecasts

🔮 Predictions

Based on similar snowfall events and the current forecast/timelines, here are my predictions:

Expect very large service disruptions and service suspensions on many lines are possible. NYC Subway, PATH, LIRR, and New Haven Line (MNR) will likely be the most impacted by this storm.

Note: All of these predictions are based on weather forecasts from the National Weather Service (NWS). The service disruption predictions are based on prior snow storms that have impacted the metro area and how transit agencies have adjusted their service schedules in response. If the forecast changes, the service disruption forecasts will also change.

ℹ︎ Information

🗺Here's a map of how the NYC Subway would look without the above ground sections running
- You can tell this is about to happen before the MTA announces the service change based on real service alerts mentioning trains are being stored on express tracks - in prior years this has happened up to a few hours before the press conference event. Watch out for an 'Express to Local' alert and read the description to get an early warning. A press conference will be called before any changes take place.
For more details, visit the Winter Weather Wiki Page

Additional Resources:

Posted Feb 21, 2026, 4:43 PM UTC

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