Mark my words: Kathmandu real estate will crash

Discussion

It costs 3 crore to buy a house in Kathmandu (a decent one)

And rent garne ho vane 20k per flat, 7.2 lakh per year which is 2% return annual.

3 crore euta minimum wage Nepali lai kamauna 150 barsa lagxa.

This is enough to tell you the market is way overvalued.

Aile ko market sustain vako just duita karan le ho:

- kathmandu baira ko people relocating here sab bechera willing to pay any amount for heavenly kathmandu

- first world country buyers (US UK Aus EU) willing to pay any amount to have a piece in kathmandu

And homeowner perspective bata, tesko ghar 3.1 crore ma gayo, ma 3 vanda tala bechdina mindset.

When this buyer market saturates, there will be panic selling cause ghar bikri nai hudaina.

3 crore ma list garxan, 2 barsa bikri navayesi 2.2 crore ma bechera hidnu parxa.

3 crore, maina ko 1 lakh savings garne lai ni bachauna 25 years lagxa, 1 lakh save garne manxe nai xaina dherai Nepal vitra, maybe 1/2 lakh jana hola, but ghar/jagga ta way way more xa.

So yo gap will create a major real estate crash that Nepal has never seen till date.

1 aana jagga ko 30 lakh vanda tala napaunu, normally 40 45, ali ramro thau ma 70-80 lakh per aana samma parnu should tell you enough, this unsustainable price gauge will collapse.

Exact market psychology predict garna is hard, but a crash is coming soon. (within 24 months)

Im not saying total crash hunxa, 70 lakh parne jagga 7 lakh ma aauxa vanna khojeko chai haina.

But 70 lakh parne jagga 40 45 ma jharxa 100%.

Ani 3.5 crore parne ghar 2.5 crore sammaa jharxa.

Lets discuss below, what do you think?

Posted Feb 21, 2026, 5:27 PM UTC

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