🚨 Value Bet Validation Update

📊 March 4 Results

• 18 value bet alerts identified

• 12 hits

• 6 misses

• 66.7% overall accuracy

• 16.9% average edge

Breakdown:

📈 Spread predictions: 63.6% win rate

🔥 Totals (O/U): 71.4% win rate

These alerts come directly from the ML edge detection running on the Today’s Games data — identifying where model probability vs Vegas lines creates value.

The goal isn’t predicting every game… it’s finding the spots where the market is wrong.

More data = stronger edge. 📊

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