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orionus

Final Off-Season Prediction

I was going to post this yesterday, so please note some edits following the Moore trade.

The retirement of Dalman changed my entire perspective on the Bears' off-season. It's a strong reminder that nothing is certain, and that plotting for best-laid plans is, in a lot of ways, a fool's errand.

I was generally in the draft and develop and take it slow camp, but I think the Bears need to signal to the league (and to future free agents) that they're in it to win it. I don't think it means trading for Crosby necessarily, as you'll see below, but I do think it means being aggressive and not relying on someone like Caleb Banks to be the savior of the defense. 

These are the principles that guided this exercise:

  1. If DJ Moore is moved, the Bears will do right by him and give him some choice of his destination. (Editor's note: I was right)
  2. The Bears were willing to spend $60M on the interior of their iOL and were comfortable rolling the dice on LT. I don't think that philosophy has changed.
  3. The Bears defense is still very much a work in progress, and an influx of youth is not going to be an immediate solution. Jarrett and Odeyingbo will be released next year, and there will need to be veteran leaders in certain position groups.

With that said, this is how I'd approach the offseason:

Cuts:

Edmunds - $15M

Swift - $7.5M

Restructures:

Thuney - $7.6M

Jackson - $6.5M

Extension:

Kmet - $6.5M

Available Cap after Above: $44.5M

Less needs for rookie class and in-season flexibility: $15M

Available Cap Space: $29.5M

______

Now comes the fun part:

Trade: DJ Moore to New England Patriots for 2026 4th (CHI) and 2026 6th (PIT) - Cap Savings 16.5M (Editors note: Actual trade, DJ Moore + '26 Chicago 5th for '26 Buffalo 2nd. Nice work, Poles.)

Available -$46M

______

Now, to rebuild the roster.

Sign:

Tyler Linderbaum (C) - 4yr $90M. 2026 Cap Hit - $22.5M ($60M Guaranteed)

Jamaree Salyer (G/T) - 2yr $13M. 2026 Cap Hit - $7M ($13M Guaranteed)

Kam Curl (S) - 3yr $22.5M. 2026 Cap Hit - $5M ($15M Guaranteed)

AJ Epenesa (EDGE) - 2yr $16M 2026 Cap Hit - $6M ($12M Guaranteed)

D'Marco Jackson (LB) - 2 yr $3.5M 2026 Cap Hit - $1.75M ($3.5M Guaranteed)

Veteran/RFA/ERFA Signings: CJ Gardner Johnson (CB/S), Demario Davis (LB), Devin Duvernay (WR), Elijah Hicks (S), Jonathan Owens (S), Jordan McFadden (G)

Draft:

Please note, I expect to receive the compensatory picks for Cunningham.

1.25 - Peter Woods (DT)

2.57 - Jacob Rodriguez (LB)

2.60 - Zakee Wheatley (S)

3.89 - Dominique Orange (DT)

3.102 - Demond Claiborne (RB)

4.129 - Tristan Leigh (OT)

7.238 - Pat Coogan (C)

7.240 - Nate Boerkircher (TE)

Starting 53:

Offense:

PositionStarterBackup2nd Backup
QBCaleb WilliamsTyson Bagent
RBKyle MonangaiDemond ClaiborneTravis Homer
WRLuther BurdenDevin Duvernay
WRRome OdunzeJahdae Walker
TEColston LovelandCole KmetNate Boerkircher
LTJamaree SalyerTristan LeighOzzy Trapilo*
LGJoe ThuneyTheo Benedet
CTyler LinderbaumLuke Newman
RGJonah JackonJordan McFadden
RTDarnell WrightKiran Amegadije

Defense:

PositionStarterBackup2nd Backup
LDTPeter WoodsGervon Dexter
RDTGrady JarrettDominique OrangeShemar Turner*
LDEMontez SweatJoe Tryon-ShoyinkaDayo Odeyingbo*
RDEAJ EpenesaAustin Booker
WLBD'Marco Jackson
MLBJacob RodriguezTJ Edwards*
SLBDemario DavisReuben Hypollite II
LCBJaylon JohnsonZah FrazierJosh Blackwell
RCBTyrique StevensonTerrell Smith
NickelKyler GordonCJ Gardner-Johnson
FSZakee WheatleyElijah Hicks
SSKam CurlJonathan Owens

Special Teams:

PositionStarter
KickerCairo Santos
PunterTory Taylor
LSScott Daly

Any remaining slots on the 53 would likely be filled with UDFA/Veteran Camp signings, particularly at WR. Bears hope Coogan makes it to the PS, and consider re-signing OZ if he takes vet minimum.

I'm probably going to be wrong about all of this - but hey, offseason adventures are fun, especially when this team is more than worth rooting for again.

Posted Mar 5, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC

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