In the Hornets Heat game the Kel’el Ware props are interesting. Over 8.5 points is not asking for much if he gets decent minutes. Bigs like him usually get easy looks around the rim so it’s more about touches than efficiency. The one three made is clearly a bit more speculative, but if he spaces the floor even once and hits it that leg is done instantly.

Bam Adebayo’s lines are basically volume bets. Over 26.5 PRA fits his role since he does a bit of everything. Points, boards, playmaking, he fills the stat sheet even on average nights. The over 3.5 three attempts is the risky angle though. Bam doesn’t always shoot that many from deep, but if Miami’s offense stretches the floor and he takes a few early ones it becomes very reachable.

Then the Nuggets Knicks game looks like you’re leaning into usage.

Landry Shamet over 9.5 points plus assists makes sense if he’s getting floor time because his job is simple. Shoot or move the ball. One or two threes and a couple of passes that lead to buckets and that line suddenly looks small.

Jamal Murray over 5.5 three attempts is pretty logical. Denver relies on his perimeter scoring and he’s never shy about letting it fly. In competitive games he usually gets that volume.

Karl Anthony Towns is clearly the anchor on this side of the slip. Over 25.5 points plus rebounds and over 10.5 boards basically assumes he’s heavily involved. If the Knicks keep feeding him and the pace stays decent he can cover both at the same time. Big minutes and high usage are the key there.

Why I'm going with these individual options