[**A warm frontal passage will occur Sunday morning, allowing temperatures to rise into the 50s and 60s for most of the area.** ](https://www.weather.gov/okx/weatherstory)

Should be a mostly nice today and through the first half of the upcoming week....

[Area Forecast Discussion: Key Messages](https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off-)

**1) Areas of dense fog and a few showers possible early this morning for much of the area. Otherwise, much warmer conditions expected today.** 

>The cold wedge has largely remained locked in place with the warm front struggling to lift north. Scattered showers have also largely diminished along with wind less turbulent mixing above the surface....  
  
Chances for showers continue to decrease this morning. Any shower activity will be isolated to scattered and very light. Still cannot rule out a few light showers closer to the coast after day break as the front this morning as the trailing cold front will be slow to move east of the area.   
  
The front should begin moving offshore this afternoon. Clouds will be slow to diminish with jet energy passing to our north, but expect at least partial clearing from NW to SE this afternoon and evening. The westerly flow behind the front will allow temperatures to reach the mid to upper 50s even for coastal areas and low to mid 60s from the NYC metro on north and west.

**2) Unseasonably warm temperatures expected Monday through the middle of the upcoming week.** 

>A persistent SW flow regime sets up Monday through the middle of the week with high pressure over the Western Atlantic. This SW flow will allow for warmer air to move into the area resulting in unseasonably warm temperatures.   
  
Monday will largely be the 60s away from the coast and 50s closer to the coast. By Tuesday and Wednesday, high temperatures west of the NYC metro may climb into the upper 60s and lower 70s.   
  
Coastal CT, eastern LI, and south shore of LI likely remain in the 50s with more of an onshore flow influence off the cold ocean. There is a chance areas across western LI, especially NW Suffolk and N Nassau rise into the 60s as well.

**3) A strong frontal system impacts the area Wednesday Night into Thursday with the next chance for showers followed by more seasonably cool air to end next week.**

>Low pressure and an associated strong frontal system will approach the area late Wednesday ahead of a deepening upper-level trough. The systems warm front will likely lie well to the north Wednesday night with the trailing cold front slowly making its way into the area through Thursday morning. Chances for showers increase Wednesday night and then become likely on Thursday. Timing of the cold front passage still varies in the model guidance, but there has been some convergence of solutions towards Thursday morning/afternoon....  
  
Thursday does not appear to be a washout since the area will be in the warm sector, and the showers will likely be in band along and immediately ahead of the cold front passage. Moderate to locally heavy downpours are possible. The amount of elevated instability is uncertain and have elected to keep mention of thunder out of the forecast for now. Strong S flow ahead of the front should keep the low levels stable.  
  
Temperatures will drop quickly behind the cold front passage. There is a chance highs for the day occur early on if the front moves through earlier. Current forecast highs are in the 50s, but if the front is slower interior locations could be a bit warmer. Temperatures should fall back into the 40s in the evening, and then potentially the upper 20s and low 30s at night.

NWS (KOKX) - What to Expect: Sunday March 8, 2026 (today's forecast)