Last week's topic (includes estimates for the week of 03/02 - 03/09): 

Arena/Assault Overview and Thresholds - March 9th

The information provided in the opening post is for the season starting on 03/17. To find the estimates for the season ending on 03/16, please use the link above. For an up-to-date look at the standings for the season ending on 03/17, please refer to the user rankings posted in the comments below.

Week 11 - 03/16/26 - 03/23/26 Information and Estimates:

Season: Water/Wind and Chaos - Allegiance Battle, Aether Raids Chaos V5, Summoner Duels S

Upcoming seasons

^(03/23 - Water/Earth and Light/Dark - Arena Assault)

^(03/30 - Earth/Fire and Astra/Anima - Allegiance Battle) 

^(04/06 - Earth/Wind and Light/Dark - Arena Assault, Allegiance Battle)

^(04/13 - Earth/Water and Astra/Anima - Arena Assault, Arena Chaos V8)

^(04/20 - Earth/Fire and Chaos -  Allegiance Battle, Aether Raids Chaos V6,) ^(Possible Summoner Duels S)

Arena Bonus Heroes: L!Camilla, L!Chrom, S!Thorr, S!Dorothea, Spring R!Sothe, S!Eirika, Y!L’Rachel, Vaida, Saber, Anna

Next Week’s Arena Bonus Heroes: Likely to include L!Ayra, L!Dimitri, S!Thorr, S!Dorothea, Spring R!Sothe, S!Eirika, Astrid, Sonia,  ?, Alfonse.

NOTE1: According to the update, the first legendary from the bonus units will always cycle between the 10 newest, but with a new legendary this rule does not apply. After that, in the upcoming water season, the cycle will be Camilla -> Ayra.

NOTE2: We will be marking the ? as the bonus hero who goes on random from V1 to V5. Note that I do not have any datamined information to go on and this is just my best guess based on the pattern.

Estimated Thresholds for the Arena:

Tier 19.5 - 3754 (~732-736) + 60 (12x5 bonus KOs) per match.

Tier 20 - 3882 (768+) + 60 (12x5 bonus KOs) per match.

Tier 20.5 - 3898 (~772+) + 60 (12x5 bonus KOs) per match.

Tier 21 - 3936 (~776+) + 60 (12x5 bonus KOs) per match.

NOTE: With the introduction of Chosen Heroes and the extra bst bump; do expect errors in those scores; since there are no real data to work with for now. 

NOTE2: Adjusted scores for tier 20.5 from feedback. Thank you for the contribution.

Estimated Thresholds for Arena Assault:

Top 5k - 5248 (~748+ per match) + 28 (4x7 blessed units)

Top 3k - 5362 (~762+ per match) + 28 (4x7 blessed units)

Top 1k - 5386 (~772+ per match) + 28 (4x7 blessed units)

NOTE: Arena Assault won’t be held this week.

Aether Raids Bonus Heroes: Altina, Heimdarll, H!B!Celica, H!B!Hector, C!Fjorm, Veld, P!M!Kris, Miriel, L!Ayra, Release Version 5.

Aether Raids Bonus Structure: Catapult (O), Catapult (D).

Estimated Thresholds for Aether Raids:

Top 6k - 20960

Top 3k - 21260

Top 1k - 21390

NOTE: Increased scores for Chaos Season.

OBS: Since Chaos season is considered a separate season, if last season you were demoted it won’t reflect in this season. Also, no Thrones are awarded in Chaos seasons**.** 

Estimated Thresholds for Resonant Battles:

Interval 19.5 - 440 (Perfect score with 2 Harmonized Heroes)

Interval 20 - 448 (Perfect score with 2 Harmonized Heroes and at least three merges between all Harmonized Heroes)

Interval 20.5 - 451 (Perfect score with 2 or more Harmonized Heroes and at least six merges between all Harmonized Heroes)

Interval 21 - 464 (Perfect score with 2 or more Harmonized Heroes and at least fourteen merges between all Harmonized Heroes)

Current Bonus Titles: Radiant Dawn and Mystery.

Eligible Harmonized Heroes: S!Mia, W!Altina, S!Edelgard, S!Eirika, H!Tik, S!Caeda, K!Linde, Bride Tiki, H!Nagi.

Estimated Thresholds for Allegiance Battle:

Top 5k - 1030 (732 +150 +25 +24 +99)

Top 3k - 1046 (748 +150 +25 +24 +99)

Top 1k - 1058 (760 +150 +25 +24 +99)

Upcoming Summoner Duels Survival (50th) Bonus Allies: Likely to include M!A!Tiki,C!Fjorm, Heiðr.

Summoner Skills Available: Piercing Cold, Eminence, Tandem Form.

Piercing Cold -> At start of turns 2 through 5, if the captain is within 6 spaces of a foe, inflicts Spd-7 and【Frozen】 on closest foes to the captain and foes within 2 spaces of those foes.

Eminence -> Captain has【Pathfinder】effect. Inflicts Def/Res-3 on foes within 3 spaces of your captain during combat

Tandem Form -> Grants Atk/Spd+4 to captain during combat. At the start of turns 2 through 5, grants "unit can move to a space adjacent to any ally within 2 spaces" to captain and allies within 2 spaces of captain for 1 turn. 

Estimated Thresholds for Summoner Duels R:

Top 6k - 2800

Top 3k - 3550

Top 1k - 4800

NOTE: Summoner Duels R will not be held this week. The next event is probably on May 7th.

Estimated Thresholds for Summoner Duels S:

Top 6k - 3200

Top 3k - 4200

Top 1k - 5100

These estimates are solely our opinion and may not reflect the actual cutoffs. If you believe the cutoffs are inaccurate or if you spot any errors, please comment below.

Your input is needed to help form accurate estimates! Please provide your rankings for the week of 03/09/26 - 03/16/26 using the template below:

Template for PC users:

Arena Tier XX

Score: X

Rank: X/Cutoff

Assault Top Yk

Score: Y

Rank: Y

Aether Raids Top Zk

Score: Z

Rank: Z

Defense Loss: -Z

Resonant Battles Interval A

Score: A

Rank: A/Cutoff

Allegiance Battles Top Bk

Score: B

Rank: B

Summoner Duels R Top Ck

Score: C

Rank: C

Summoner Duels S Top Dk

Score: D

Rank: D

Template for Mobile users: Score Template

Important: If you're in Tier 20.5, only give the promotion cutoff. Tier 20 players that stay or get demoted can simply give the stay cutoff. If you have any doubts about your team score range, check out here

NOTE: If you would like to be informed about when these topics are posted, please DM any of us as there is a system in place for notifications.

 

Thank you!