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marvel308

100% Equity Portfolio (VOO / QQQM / VXUS): Comparing the current 2026 oil shock to 2022. What can we expect next?

Hey everyone,

I am running a high-growth, 100% equity DIY portfolio and wanted to get the community's thoughts on how it might weather the current macro environment compared to our last major inflation shock.

My current allocation is straightforward but aggressive:

  • 50% VOO (S&P 500 anchor)
  • 25% QQQM (NASDAQ 100 tech/growth tilt)
  • 25% VXUS (International diversification)

I invest my bi weekly paycheck into this

Last time oil crossed the 4$ national average was in 2022. It was fueled by Russia Ukraine war, post COVID demand and then inflation rise.

  • Max Drawdown: -26.1%
  • Total change: -19.4%

https://preview.redd.it/xh8l423q8nrg1.png?width=1318&format=png&auto=webp&s=03c54344f9acf53176d1e476ec98bd4aaa19dc77

Fast forward today we have another geo political oil shock at our hands. So far

  • Max drawdown: -7.81%
  • Total change: -4.7%

https://preview.redd.it/qjotqyes8nrg1.png?width=1554&format=png&auto=webp&s=47084eebb8e0575015445570f87f2558d3824e16

So far the impact of the war is moderate. While it feels like manageable market noise right now, the underlying conditions suggest there could be much more volatility on the horizon.

Any suggestions on what to predict? I am planning to hold the line, but I would love to hear your insights on the road ahead

Posted Mar 27, 2026, 8:07 PM UTC

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