Hi All,

I've been working on a project that I call "StormWatch Macro" for nearly a year now and I wanted some feedback on it. I've been investing for well over 5 years now and in my initial days, I used to invest blindly - unknowing of macro-events and so I'd get my timing wrong and fall into bull/bear traps. then I got into swing trading, and although my TAs were decent, my timings were off due to macro events which usually supersedes any kind of TA. After carefully studying the cause and effect of global risk events, interest rate decisions, tech scares, carry-over trades, fear-greed cycles etc., I decided to build myself a daily report. One that analyzes the macro environment from multiple aspects (technical, event-driven, statistical, etc.) and gives me an idea at the end of the day whether the next day will be good to trade or not.

The report does not just a regurgitation of widely known or easily calculatable factors, but is carefully handcrafted to best capture and alert of possible market drops within the following 3 and 5 trading days. To supplement the report, I've incorporated a carefully tuned bear-to-bull regime meter which gives a score to today's trading environment between 0-100 (specific to swing trading), price-action based support and resistance levels for SPX and QQQ, probabilities for drops within 3/5 days based on historical data given the current market environment, and an AI prediction model for QQQ/SPX that estimates whether the market conditions favor a significant (>1%) drop within 3/5 days.

I've found it very useful navigating possible market drop events like Fed decisions, tariffs, and war/global escalations, and also in general to see where we are given the grand scheme of things. It has saved me from making numerous bad decisions and has kept me in check not to buy every dip or trust every surge.

A disclaimer that I do plan to monetize this in the near future because running the analysis takes up a lot of compute which I'm paying from my pocket right now, and a lot of formula I used and features I created internally are the result of hundreds of hours of tweaking to make sure everything is perfect when simplified.

I hope to gain feedback from this community to see if it can be improved or if it's even useful to you for your needs given that there are many kinds of traders with their own strategies.

Attached is the report that I generated for yesterday.

Thanks in advance.

P.S., mods please delete if this post breaks the rules. Apologies if it does.

Request for feedback: Macro Impact Analysis Report