[SPC Update] Severe Weather Outlook (Issued: 7:48 AM CDT, April 06) | Today: No Risk | Tor: 0% (CIG 0)

Full Forecast and Technical Discussion: SPC Convective Outlooks

---

Day 1 Outlook — Issued: 7:48 AM CDT, April 06

Categorical Map: Processing img x81dduwemktg1...

Tornado/Prob Map: Processing img mxm4p15fmktg1...

Forecast Valid From: Mar 6, 7:00 AM CST — Mar 7, 6:00 AM CST

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

SUMMARY: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected today across the Florida Peninsula, and portions of the Four Corners, northern Rockies, and eastern Great Lakes. While a few strong storms may occur across the central/southern Florida Peninsula, organized severe potential is expected to remain low.

---

Day 2 Outlook — Issued: 12:45 AM CDT, April 06

Categorical Map: Processing img 03m498nfmktg1...

Tornado/Prob Map: Processing img cfzqmtrfmktg1...

Forecast Valid From: Mar 7, 6:00 AM CST — Mar 8, 7:00 AM CDT

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

SUMMARY: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday across parts of the Florida Peninsula, and in the southern Rockies. No severe threat is forecast across the U.S. Tuesday and Tuesday night.

---

Day 3 Outlook — Issued: 2:28 AM CDT, April 06

Categorical Map: Processing img lashhj7gmktg1...

Probability Map: Processing img bpfgg0cgmktg1...

Forecast Valid From: Mar 8, 7:00 AM CDT — Mar 9, 7:00 AM CDT

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...

SUMMARY: Thunderstorms with isolated large hail will be possible in parts of the central Plains Wednesday night.

---

Day 4-8 Extended Outlook

Processing img r97xc6ugmktg1...

Forecast Valid From: Mar 9, 7:00 AM CDT — Mar 14, 7:00 AM CDT

On Saturday, the potential for severe storms is expected to increase over parts of southern High Plains, as mid-level southwesterly flow strengthens. Model consensus suggests that the greatest severe threat potential will be over parts of west Texas, where some models have an axis of moderate instability in place by late Saturday afternoon. Supercells with large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible in the afternoon and evening, with storms that develop near this instability axis.