Ceasefire days look easy for 20 minutes, then punish everyone who chases the relief

A ceasefire headline gives the market exactly what late traders want, a move that suddenly looks safe to chase. That’s why it’s dangerous. The first relief move is easy to understand, but not always easy to trust. Once everyone starts believing the calm, that’s usually where the tape gets dirty again. Are you treating today like a real trend day, or just a headline day designed to trap late conviction?