Spinning is not RNG

Analysis

I don’t think I trust eFootball’s “random” algorithm.

When the bruno pack dropped I wanted to gamble on my second account so I span with 100 coins. Got Hector Fort.
4 days later the messi re-run pack drops. I wanted cruyff so I span again and I got Hector Fort yet again.

I may be wrong but I worked out the math of that and this is what I got:
1/150 (from the first box) * 1/250 (Messi box) = 1/37500.
That’s about 0.00267%.
To put that into perspective. The chance of pulling 3 epics in a 150 box containing 3 epics from 10 spins is about 8x better than what I got.

This has happened to me before in the hazard pack with the free spin on 2 different accounts. But I didn’t really pay attention. But when you spend 200 coins your brain turns on for a second and you realize how unlikely this is.

Yet again it may be simple math and I just have absolutely HORRIBLE luck but i’m not convinced this is simply just that. Especially since it has happened to me 2 different times.

Posted May 7, 2026, 12:37 PM UTC

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