CSK has 3 games left in the group stage. If we end up at:

**12 points:** Eliminated (3 losses)

**14 points:** Very difficult to qualify due to NRR (1 win, 2 losses)

**16 points:** 70-30 in our favour (2 wins, 1 loss)

**18 points:** Certain qualification, probable top 2 if things go our way ( 3 wins)

This is not taking into consideration any washed out or cancelled games.

Let's look at the scenarios if we end up at 16 points:

**A) PBKS BOTTLES** (Wins <2 games out of their remaining 3 games)

Ideal scenario for us. This is where GT, SRH and CSK all three can qualify.

GT vs SRH game becomes kinda irrelevant (still relevant for top 2 race though)

PBKS gets to a maximum of 15 points.

KKR should lose atleast 1 game out of their remaining four.

RR should lose atleast 1 game out of their remaining three (we beat them on NRR)

**B) PRIME PBKS** (Wins 2 or more games out of remaining three)

GT vs SRH game becomes super crucial. We can get knocked out even with 16 points:

If **SRH WINS** today: 

SRH certainly qualify with 16 points due to superior NRR.

GT has to win 2/2 to qualify and knock out CSK. 

If GT win only 1/2, we can beat them on NRR and qualify on 16 points.

If **GT WINS** today**: (worst case scenario)**

They'll have to win just 1/2 to qualify.

SRH will qualify with just 1 win due to their superior NRR

CSK gets knocked out even if we get to 16 points.

As for RCB, RR and KKR:

RCB will need 1/3 and they'll qualify due to superior NRR.

RR need to win 3/3 and KKR 4/4 (which is kinda unlikely)

**These scenarios are without considering any massive shifts in NRR!!!!!!**

Teams to support in upcoming games: Support MI, DC and LSG in every game (LSG: ofc after the CSK game)

Support KKR against RCB and GT

Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong ✌️

Hope we win all our remaining games and finish top 2 💛

Qualification Scenarios for CSK