FIFA's official lists have been released. How did the markets react on Polymarket today? 📋⚽📈

​

With just 8 days to go before the opening match, the finalized rosters have confirmed some realities, and the odds for the favorites are adjusting rapidly today:

Argentina and France in the lead: With Messi and Mbappé firmly confirmed on the official rosters, both countries remain at the top, hovering around 15-18% implied probability in the main markets.

Adjustment for absences: A few last-minute injury withdrawals confirmed today in FIFA’s PDFs caused the odds for a couple of European teams to drop a few cents. Keep an eye on arbitrage opportunities!

The "Group of Death" market: The "Qualify for the Round of 16" markets have just kicked off in a big way now that we know exactly what each team has at its disposal.

Is anyone else trading the World Cup on Polymarket? Do you see value in any "dark horse" (surprise) teams now that the rosters are 100% official? 👇