[SPC Update] Severe Weather Outlook (Issued: 2:56 PM CDT, June 12) | Today: Slight | Tor: 2% (CIG 0)
Full Forecast and Technical Discussion: SPC Convective Outlooks
Day 1 Outlook — Issued: 2:56 PM CDT, June 12
Categorical Map: https://preview.redd.it/r07jsp4fuw6h1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=895da8e2e3d5ccd17286d51f9a6fad5600644cc0
Tornado/Prob Map: https://preview.redd.it/wpywj09fuw6h1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=970121f4da4a24dd685ab3b568daabccb65c03bc
Forecast Valid From: Mar 12, 3:00 PM CDT — Mar 13, 7:00 AM CDT
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST...MID-ATLANTIC...AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AS WELL AS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
SUMMARY: Strong to severe storms capable of damaging winds are expected across parts of the Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast, mainly this afternoon and evening. Severe storms with a threat of large hail and severe wind gusts will also be possible across parts of the south-central High Plains.
Day 2 Outlook — Issued: 12:28 PM CDT, June 12
Categorical Map: https://preview.redd.it/wmjhafmfuw6h1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=ad9eb4b2ee0ce00944690f6d32337e9acffca22e
Tornado/Prob Map: https://preview.redd.it/65gdzfqfuw6h1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=1b88ba03ddbcca4781f4ee984520c9de818b3738
Forecast Valid From: Mar 13, 7:00 AM CDT — Mar 14, 7:00 AM CDT
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS...ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA AND NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND MUCH OF WESTERN THROUGH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SUMMARY: One or two evolving thunderstorm clusters appear possible across parts of the central Great Plains and lower Missouri Valley vicinity Saturday afternoon through Saturday night. Some of this activity will pose a risk for producing large hail and swaths of strong, potentially damaging wind gusts.
Day 3 Outlook — Issued: 2:27 PM CDT, June 12
Categorical Map: https://preview.redd.it/zy7zug5guw6h1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=0da9a4b7f0244c723a9425c5be32809900ff5c64
Probability Map: https://preview.redd.it/otofdx9guw6h1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=731c2e232abca8e260d34c6c2640e8ef89061b7a
Forecast Valid From: Mar 14, 7:00 AM CDT — Mar 15, 7:00 AM CDT
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST STATES...
SUMMARY: Severe thunderstorms are possible across the lower Great Lakes and upper Ohio Valley vicinity through much of the northern Mid Atlantic Sunday.
Day 4-8 Extended Outlook
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Forecast Valid From: Mar 15, 7:00 AM CDT — Mar 20, 7:00 AM CDT
A surface front will remain across south TX and the Gulf Coast vicinity while broad upper troughing persists east of the Rockies. As a result, severe potential is expected to remain limited as any deep Gulf moisture and stronger instability will remain well removed from any stronger mid/upper flow associated with the upper trough.
Posted Jun 12, 2026, 8:20 PM UTC