Projecting season win totals (because why not? I got nothing better to do on a Monday night in a heat wave)

I decided just for funsies to take a crack at projecting what the team's record at the end of the year could look like. For the purposes of this thought exercise, I took our current winning percentage (.530) and applied it to the rest of our slate of games before the All Star break. This would give us 7 more wins and have us entering the break with a 51-44 record.

We have 67 games left to play after the break. The best post ASB winning percentage in modern history came from the 2001 Oakland Athletics, which posted a .773 winning percentage in the second half. The worst post ASB mark is pretty obvious which team and year it was, as we posted a .219 mark.

Using those two winning percentages gives us what I feel are confidently the maximum and minimum limits for our second half. So here is the list of what we could finish at, and what that would take in the second half.

• Upper Limit: 103 wins — We would need to win 52 games in the second half, posting a .776 winning percentage.
• Lower Limit: 66 wins — We would need to win 15 games in the second half, posting a .224 winning percentage.
• .500 W% post-ASG — We would win 34 games and finish at 85-77
• Maintain season-long .530 W% post-ASG — We would win 36 games and finish at 87-75
• Maintain .593 W% we've had since April 17 post-ASG — We would win 40 games and finish at 91-71
• Match the 2005 regular season total OR tie franchise record with 100 wins OR set franchise record with 101 wins — we would need to win 48, 49 or 50 games, respectively, for each of those scenarios, meaning winning percentages of .713, .731, .746

My prediction: I say we finish at 95 wins this year.