12 ES trades in June, 75% win rate. The number that actually mattered wasn't the win rate
Traded ES on 15s-1m charts through June, 12 trades total, 9 winners. $1,669 net on my Apex eval, so no real money on this one yet, just want to be upfront about that since most posts here bury it.
Went back through the stats after the month closed and one thing stood out. My winning trades ran 6+ minutes on average. My losing trades closed in under 2 minutes, one of them in under a minute. I didn't plan that, it just showed up when I looked at the data.
Kind of makes sense in hindsight. When I'm right, price usually confirms it slowly and I let it run. When I'm wrong, it's obvious almost immediately and I'm out. The one trade that hurt the most (biggest drawdown of the month) was actually one where I hesitated on a good exit signal for close to 3 minutes second guessing myself.
Also only took 12 trades the whole month, which was on purpose. I'd tracked before that my 1-trade days ran around 74% win rate and my 4+ trade days dropped to under 40%, so I just started capping it.
Posted Jul 5, 2026, 9:01 PM UTC