[SPC Update] Severe Weather Outlook (Issued: 7:31 AM CDT, July 06) | Today: Slight | Tor: 2% (CIG 0)

Full Forecast and Technical Discussion: SPC Convective Outlooks

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Day 1 Outlook — Issued: 7:31 AM CDT, July 06

Categorical Map: https://preview.redd.it/cg1erd6d1mbh1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=23b7862cdea6cea8e35873a42be721200c95378a

Tornado/Prob Map: https://preview.redd.it/qqephxad1mbh1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=e37263b43f0da85b3a31b22215882fb171a3a3be

Forecast Valid From: Mar 6, 7:00 AM CST — Mar 7, 6:00 AM CST

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE EASTERN DAKOTAS AND WESTERN MINNESOTA AS WELL AS CENTRAL VIRGINIA INTO FAR NORTH-CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY: Widely scattered severe thunderstorms capable of large to very large hail and severe wind gusts appear possible across the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota this afternoon and evening. Isolated to scattered damaging wind gusts will also be possible with the strongest storms in the southern Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas.

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Day 2 Outlook — Issued: 12:10 AM CDT, July 06

Categorical Map: https://preview.redd.it/l4lguovd1mbh1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=87ef8e29e31021f6a722c0ef9004737fe371f5f1

Tornado/Prob Map: https://preview.redd.it/9h36n60e1mbh1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=b45ef8d48e1eb0c9d3caf465c53bdd79f891e482

Forecast Valid From: Mar 7, 6:00 AM CST — Mar 8, 7:00 AM CDT

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA...

SUMMARY: Strong thunderstorms, which may evolve into an organized cluster with increasing potential to produce severe wind gusts by late Tuesday evening, are possible across parts of central and eastern South Dakota into southwestern Minnesota. Other thunderstorm clusters may form to the east of the Blue Ridge Mountains and southwest of the Ark-La-Tex vicinity and pose a risk for damaging wind gusts late Tuesday afternoon or evening.

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Day 3 Outlook — Issued: 2:31 AM CDT, July 06

Categorical Map: https://preview.redd.it/5p9gw1he1mbh1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=e787e236d918bfb915b9469e97bc7005cba39ff5

Probability Map: https://preview.redd.it/du94eyke1mbh1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=11fe6159f27361742a8abe8cb0324c5b638cebc8

Forecast Valid From: Mar 8, 7:00 AM CDT — Mar 9, 7:00 AM CDT

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS INTO UPPER MIDWEST...

SUMMARY: Clusters of strong thunderstorms with potential to produce severe hail and wind may evolve across parts of the Upper Midwest into central Great Plains Wednesday through Wednesday night.

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Day 4-8 Extended Outlook

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Forecast Valid From: Mar 9, 7:00 AM CDT — Mar 14, 7:00 AM CDT

Medium-range model output continues to indicate the evolution of an increasingly prominent mid/upper high across the lower Colorado Valley and Plateau late this week into next weekend, which may continue expanding and encompassing a significant portion of the interior U. S. by early next week.