I found a wallet with 92% accuracy on World Cup No markets. Here's why that matters more than leaderboard rank.

Most wallet trackers sort by profit or win rate. Both are misleading — market makers top every leaderboard, and a 90% win rate on 12 trades tells you nothing.

The more useful question is whether a wallet is skilled in a specific market type. Not "is this wallet good" but "is this wallet good at this."

I've been building a scoring system that breaks wallet accuracy down by sport, market type, and trade direction. One wallet I found has 92% accuracy on World Cup "No" positions across 592 trades. Its overall profile looks unremarkable so it would never appear in a standard leaderboard. But filter to World Cup "No" markets and it's one of the most accurate wallets in the dataset. The owner of the wallet may not realise their level of specialisation.

The implication: following a wallet's signal in its specialist domain is a very different proposition to following its overall record.

Is anyone else approaching wallet selection this way, or is it mostly leaderboard-based copy trading?