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Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 10 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (CP90):

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a trough of low 

pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of the 

Hawaiian Islands has diminished slightly since yesterday. However, 

environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 

this system through early next week, and a tropical depression could 

form while the system moves generally westward across the central 

Pacific, remaining well south of the Hawaiian Islands.

\* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 

\* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:

A trough of low pressure with a small cluster of showers and 

thunderstorms continues to move generally westward and is located 

about 800 miles southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental 

conditions appear favorable for some slow development of this 

system, and a tropical depression could form next week as it moves 

mainly westward over the central Pacific, remaining well south of 

the Hawaiian Islands. 

\* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 

\* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

3. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:

An area of low pressure is expected to form late this weekend or 

early next week several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast 

of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear favorable 

for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression is 

likely to form next week while the system moves generally 

west-northwestward. 

\* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 

\* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

4. Central and Western East Pacific:

Another area of low pressure could form by early next week well 

southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development 

of this system is possible next week while it moves slowly 

northwestward.

\* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 

\* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Katz/Berg

[7/10 Pacific TWO 1100 AN PDT] The disturbance well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands has been upgraded to 🍊 0/50% | The other disturbances remain at 🍒 0/70%, 🍊 40/50% and 🍋 0/20% respectively