Probability of dependent events and conditional probability formulas circling back to each other?
According to the multiplication rule, the probability of dependent events A and B happening is:
P ( A and B ) = P(A) times P ( B | A )
but how do we find P ( B | A ) ? We look at the conditional probability formula right?
But the conditional probability formula is
P ( A | B ) = P(A ∩ B) / P (B)
But then how do we find P(A ∩ B) ? We go to the multiplication rule?
Why does it create an endless loop of circular reasoning?
Posted Jul 11, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC
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