Is run differential reliable to determine if a team is good or not?

Opinion

There are a few outliers this season. Phillies with a negative 17 run differential and yet 52-43 record. Guardians are another example of a negative run differential yet a 49-46 record. Tigers have a plus 30 run differential yet a bad record. Rangers with negative 10 and a positive record.

Does that mean those teams are getting lucky?

Posted Jul 11, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC

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