Ranking all 4 couples chances of winning

Apologies in advance for the long read lol but the order will be from most likely to least likely to win

1. Trinity and Bryce: The obvious frontrunners of the season and its looked like they were going to be the winners basically since Casa so not much to say about them. I have seen support for them decrease slightly as the season has gone on because some people feel like they're scammers lol but regardless they still have a huge fanbase that is loyal plus they're the strongest couple in the finale so in all likelihood we'll be seeing them crowned as winners tomorrow.

2. Melanie and Sincere: This is the most interesting couple to talk about imo because regardless of how you feel about them, I believe that that they actually have 2 pretty big fanbases that have been voting them into safety. The first are the Melanie fans and I feel like out of the core 4 Melanie may have either the largest or second largest fanbase so that itself is already a lot of support and then on top of that you have the actual Melcere fans. If I had to guess I would say there are still a lot of Melcere fans out there but they don't make their support publicly known since they know they'll get a lot of hate for it, but when it comes to voting they always show up. Now the really interesting part is that I have seen a lot of KC and Corbin fans on other social media saying that they are voting for Melcere because they're mad their favorites didn't get to the end and don't want Brinity to win. Additionally I have seen a lot of people who want maximum chaos/drama also voting for these 2 because it would obviously be the most controversial outcome so overall they've picked up a decent amount of extra votes from other fanbases. Do I think it will be enough to win? Probably not, but it will be enough to make them runner-ups.

3. Aniya and Carl: This one is kind of interesting too because this couple has 2 groups that are voting for them. There are the Aniya fans which is still a decently sized group (I'd say she has the third biggest fanbase in Core 4 after Trinity and Mel), but support for Aniya has definitely decreased since the Casa recoupling where it was at its peak and that has a lot to do with her supporting Sincere as much as she did plus a lot of people got tired of the KC/Aniya storyline dragging on as much as it did. So for those reasons I don't think her core fanbase is as large as it once was. Outside of that she also has some of the "sympathy" voters going for her who want Aniya to complete her redemption arc with Carl after her Casa recoupling low point. This group isn't particularly large and Melanie is kinda taking some of the sympathy vote away from Aniya so yeah overall she has a decent amount of support but not enough to compete with Melcere or Brinity.

4. Kayda and Zach: The problem with this couple is that they have a good amount of people that like them (or at least like Kayda), but they don't like them more than the other 3 couples in the finals. Imo the only reason they got into the final 4 was because of the Core 4 support, but now that core 4 fans have to break up and only vote for 1 couple, I think we'll see that in the core 4 fandom Zach and Kayda have the smallest group of fans supporting them specifically. It also doesn't help that Kayda seemingly has the smallest fan group out of the core 4 girls.