AD or Gray?

Looking for a realistic assessment from those who have been through the Rolex allocation process, especially in the PNW.

The three watches I’m interested in are the Titanium Yacht-Master 42 (my current favorite), the Rhodium Yacht-Master 40, and the Batgirl. I honestly didn’t think I’d like the Jubilee bracelet until I tried one on, and now the Batgirl is right up there with the titanium YM tied for my #1 pick.

I’m also considering buying my wife a stainless Datejust 36 with a mother-of-pearl dial and diamond markers.
I’m in the Seattle area, and with the new Rolex boutique opening in Bellevue, I’m wondering if it changes the equation at all? I’ve heard the rumors that it’s Rolex-owned and that Tudor may become the “relationship builder” instead of jewelry, but I don’t know how much truth there is to any of that.

Here’s my situation. I’m not interested in spending years building a purchase history or buying watches I don’t actually want. I’d really like to get at least one of these sports models before next summer, as my wife and I are doing a vow renewal and I’d love to have it for that. Ideally I’d end up with two or three of these watches eventually, but I’d like the first one within the next year.

For context, I’m familiar with the idea of “playing the game.” We recently got my wife a Birkin 30 from Hermès, so I understand relationship-based allocation. The difference is that I genuinely enjoy buying other things from Hermès. With Rolex, I really only want these specific watches.
So, realistically, what are my chances as a brand new customer with no purchase history? Is buying my wife’s Datejust likely to help at all? Or, if your goal was to have one of these by next summer, would you skip the AD route altogether and negotiate a package deal on the gray market?

Thanks all!