Am I competitive for orthopedic surgery?

M4 applying ortho this cycle from the southeast (FL/GA).

I have been interested in orthopedics since late M1/M2, but my ortho research is very weak. I really tried to connect with research opportunities but unfortunately my school department has limited opportunities for students. I did well on my home rotation but am certainly not highly connected within the department due to lack of research. I've got 6 total rotations, just finished 2/6. First one got great feedback and second one overall got good feedback but rather impersonal.

3rd year rotations - honored 5/6, only HP was surgery unfortunately.

AOA released on Monday which I expect to be nominated for at the very least.

STEP 2: 269

Pubs: 4 (surgery but no ortho) - 3 orthopedic projects in the works with 1 manuscript and 1 case report submitted.

Leadership: President of 2 organizations. Nothing in Ortho clubs.

Volunteering: 3-4 activities

Letters: 1 from home PD, 1 from current away, 1 from plastic surgeon mentor, hoping for 1-2 on next away as I work with 1 attending for 2 weeks straight.

Anyone with similar applications or advice on whether dual-applying would be helpful for my application? I have no interest in a RY at this point as I have 2 kids at home and delaying more is not an option.