[SPC Update] Severe Weather Outlook (Issued: 11:00 AM CDT, August 10) | Today: Slight | Tor: 2% (CIG 0)

Full Forecast and Technical Discussion: SPC Convective Outlooks

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Day 1 Outlook — Issued: 11:00 AM CDT, August 10

Categorical Map: https://preview.redd.it/i2ntpfudpkih1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=91b599ca493b9065784e38cac02b66fe4d3750e2

Tornado/Prob Map: https://preview.redd.it/cmxwtaydpkih1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=cc3b4617f44bce19c4c52a877677a490c69eeae5

Forecast Valid From: Mar 10, 11:00 AM CDT — Mar 11, 7:00 AM CDT

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF ILLINOIS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...AND OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA...

SUMMARY: Thunderstorms with severe wind gusts will be possible this afternoon and evening from northern Illinois eastward into Pennsylvania. Severe gusts and hail will also be possible from parts of the central and northern Plains into the Midwest, with scattered severe storms over southern Arizona.

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Day 2 Outlook — Issued: 12:59 AM CDT, August 10

Categorical Map: https://preview.redd.it/ds4k48hepkih1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=d938f814520f3d192b7c847e68e0682fe7eea557

Tornado/Prob Map: https://preview.redd.it/bip6jtoepkih1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=41bef94fe4c9beb65c56897b85b1f944cf4c0378

Forecast Valid From: Mar 11, 7:00 AM CDT — Mar 12, 7:00 AM CDT

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...

SUMMARY: Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts will be possible on Tuesday from parts of the Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians in the afternoon and evening. Isolated severe wind gusts and hail will also be possible from parts of the central and northern Plains into the Midwest.

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Day 3 Outlook — Issued: 2:30 AM CDT, August 10

Categorical Map: https://preview.redd.it/lr1uo19fpkih1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=3a1f15e802b0c632e01ba6f5eca3ee0976f65248

Probability Map: https://preview.redd.it/movbs9hfpkih1.png?width=1630&format=png&auto=webp&s=613ba561536ab94992d01b602281aa8a42506991

Forecast Valid From: Mar 12, 7:00 AM CDT — Mar 13, 7:00 AM CDT

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

SUMMARY: Thunderstorms with severe wind gusts and hail will be possible Wednesday afternoon and evening across parts of the central and northern High Plains. Isolated severe wind gusts will also be possible from parts of the mid Missouri Valley east-southeastward into the southern Appalachians.

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Day 4-8 Extended Outlook

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Forecast Valid From: Mar 13, 7:00 AM CDT — Mar 18, 7:00 AM CDT

On Saturday, a mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move through the Great Lakes region. Moderate to strong instability may be in place over much of Illinois, Indiana and Ohio by afternoon. Along the northern edge of the stronger instability, isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible from Lower Michigan eastward into the central Appalachians Saturday afternoon.