Going to a game

I didn’t know where else to go I have a conundrum bron comes to my town on dec 30th to play I want to go but I’m worried he won’t play since it’s the 4th game of a 5 game road trip and the second game of a back to back and 2 days before the new years game. Should I take the chance and pay for the tickets hoping he plays even though my gut says it’s unlikely or do I save the inevitable 300 dollars